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[T1214]Trading Crude Oil Futures
by Fred Tam, Fre
OCT CPO futures closed lower by RM23 at 2517 on high volume of 6,456 lots.


1. CPO retraced to close at exactly our 38% Fibonacci support level of 2517 (see chart).

2.As long as CPO is above the low of yesterday we would want to take a long position.

3. Our sell-stop is now at 2505 OL to exit longs.

4. We still expect an uptrend continuation to test 2743.

General commentary: CPO has exceeded its Wave 3 = Wave 1 target. It is working its way towards the Wave 3=1.618 x Wave1 target of 2743. Get
ready for a strong rally.

Next upside targets: 2743/3008 (targets revised on July 6)

Downside support:2489/2418/2384/2153

Ichimoku chart: (Based on kumo (clouds), CPO is long. Kumo support is at 2111. Ichimoku chart will turn short @ 2110 OL
(updated on June 11, 2007)

Average True Range for CPO: A.T.R. is 55.64 for CPO. This implies you need to put a stop above/below this A.T.R. or you can get stopped out due to the volatility factor. We advocate a 1.5 x or 2 x the ATR. We are using a 5 days ATR.



1. CPO did a round about turn yesterday but failed to hit our sell-stop.

2. As such we remain long but place sell-stop at 2595 OL to exit longs but do not short as price is still within Bollinger Band.

3.We expect a rebound today.

4.Yesterday’s low volume suggests that the pullback was not due to heavy selling.

General commentary: CPO has exceeded its Wave 3 = Wave 1 target. It is working its way towards the Wave 3=1.618 x Wave1 target of 2743. We are ready for further rallies on CPO.

Next upside targets: 2743/3008/3046 (targets revised on July 6)

Downside support:2489/2418/2384/2153

Ichimoku chart: (Based on kumo (clouds), CPO is long. Kumo support is at 2111.Ichimoku chart will turn short @ 2110 OL
(updated on June 11, 2007)

Average True Range for CPO: A.T.R. is 52.50 for CPO. This implies you need to put a stop above/below this A.T.R. or you can get stopped out due to the volatility factor. We advocate a 1.5 x or 2 x the ATR. We are using a 5 days ATR.

Article Source : Pg. 17

Fred Tam has sinced written about articles on various topics from Investments, Stock and Investments. Fred Tam is the owner of and
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