Once again the US automotive industry is in dire straits. It did not learn from the 1973 energy crisis. It did not learn from the Chrysler experience. It did not learn from Toyota. It continued to depend on old, worn out concepts and on CEO's that are kept in their positions by nepotism and by boards that do not understand the automotive business.
In a joint effort the Big Three are asking the US government for a $25 billion loan. They argue that government demands for increased fuel efficiency are too expensive to implement and require huge amounts of capital for retooling.
Let's assume for the moment that the argument has some merit. But how can companies with worldwide manufacturing facilities fail to notice the steady increase in fuel prices and not see the warning signs hoisted by governments across the world that want to limit greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuel consumption. This neglect is inexcusable.
Efforts of US and European governments to limit fuel consumption are misdirected, counterproductive, and coercive. A comprehensive analysis quickly reveals that we must indeed limit and eventually halt greenhouse gas emissions.
OPEC countries will continue their unstoppable increases of petroleum prices. Electric cars, CNG powered cars, and hydrogen powered cars cannot stop carbon dioxide emissions perceptibly and will not make our country independent of OPEC imports.
Automotive companies are critically dependent on the fickle and changing preferences of national and international markets. Industrial companies that follow political hype will be punished sooner or later. Governments are incapable of designing automobiles for the market place.
The world is relegated to using automobiles, trucks, trains, ships, and airplanes for the next century and will have to power most of them with liquid transportation fuels. We may be able to use less of them, we will be able to reduce energy consumption, we can use other forms of energy for some transportation, and we can produce petroleum substitutes from biomass. We can even produce biomass without competing with critically important food crops.
In order to minimize fuel consumption quickly, the auto industry is forced to deal with performance features. American drivers cannot avoid covering much longer distances than European or Japanese drivers. American drivers have less access to public transportation, have larger families, and drive on different types of roads. Automotive companies must listen to their customers. Toyota and Honda have been listening most successfully.
American and foreign car companies have developed a wide range of comfortable cars with a wide variety of utilitarian and luxury features. Sportive cars and SUV's are attracting large numbers of buyers. All cars offer a wide selection of comfort and entertainment features. One major car component has received only peripheral attention; it is the much maligned internal combustion engine.
Many modern internal combustion engines are marvels of engineering. Materials, manufacturing processes, and especially peripheral components have progressed to unprecedented levels of performance and longevity. There is a last frontier that has escaped deserved attention. This is the highly energy efficient combustion engine. This is the type of engine that the automotive engine needs to develop, this is the engine that legislators should make mandatory. This is the engine that we need to use for at least one more century.
Long term the automotive industry has to develop an entirely new, advanced, internal combustion engine!
Average energy efficiency of the worlds inventory of combustion engines is somewhere in the lower mid-twenties. Energy efficiency cannot grow indefinitely. When approaching the 50% efficiency mark, it will be difficult and very expensive to increase efficiency by a single percent. Advanced automotive engines are operating in the mid-thirties. Large stationary engines are breaking the 45% mark. Large engines on trains and ships are getting above 40%. Looking at the total world inventory, we may still have a chance to nearly double energy efficiency and to cut energy consumption of present inventory in half.
We cannot reach this goal by legislating fuel consumption of cars only. We can achieve optimum energy efficiency only by reengineering the processes taking place within and around the internal combustion space.
We know that higher compression ratios will increase energy efficiency, we know how to produce high octane fuel, we know why Diesel engines are more efficient, we know how to minimize formation of pollutants. The automotive industry has developed a huge selection of sophisticated electronic components for single cylinder fuel injection, for precise controls of valve motion and ignition timing, and for reclaiming waste energy at the exhaust.
No company seems to have found the nerve to get a jump on the competition and develop the successor to the two more than century old engine concepts; the Otto and the Diesel engines.
If the US government decides to extend a $25 billion loan to the automotive industry, it should attach a few conditions. The loan needs to be secured and must take precedent over shareholder equity. The loan should stipulate that the salaries of top management are tethered to salaries of other top CEO's like that of the US President. The obscene bonuses of yesterday should be paid only after a waiting period of at least five years; in which previously agreed upon management objectives must have been met or exceeded.
We must stop the prevalent looting of cash from US manufacturing companies by unscrupulous investors. These investors do not contribute anything of lasting value. They are excessively rewarded for ruining once healthy companies. We cannot continue to let a selected few impoverish the many and ruin our country irreparably.
Folks are given a lot of advice these days. Newspapers, television programs, doctors - they all follow a similar theme. They advise people to exercise, communicate assertively, read a book and do a crossword puzzle. Be active. It's good advice that can't be denied. Passively allowing life to pass by just doesn't cut it.
Coincidentally, the same can be said about the automotive industry. For vehicle safety, the key word here, too, is "active." There's a good reason for this. Once upon a time, passive safety systems like seat belts, airbags and steering wheels were new technology. They are now essential components. It's hard to imagine a vehicle without seat belts or a steering wheel, or even airbags.
Every year, more than five million accidents result in injury worldwide. By 2025, experts predict one billion cars will be on the road. All those numbers can quickly add up to a lot of accidents if drivers, and the industry itself, aren't careful. Advanced automotive safety features are out there - features that can sense imminent crashes and adjacent vehicles, and that allow multiple in-vehicle systems to "talk" with each other. This kind of technology doesn't just wait for catastrophic events to happen; it helps drivers avoid dangerous situations and works with them to mitigate injury and property damage.
For example, pre-crash warning systems with forward sensors help to predict imminent crashes and communicate with other in-vehicle systems to deploy countermeasures. Such systems ingeniously integrate active and passive safety features to help reduce crash energy and enhance restraints benefits. This not only helps the driver to react more effectively but may help reduce injuries to other parties as well.
There is more: night vision systems integrate near-infrared illuminators into the headlights, and are used with an infrared-sensitive camera and a head-up display to improve the driver's nighttime visibility without blinding oncoming traffic. The adapted headlights illuminate the road ahead, the camera captures the image, and the display provides an enhanced image to the driver.
While night vision gives drivers a better view of what is happening on the road ahead, smart cruise control with headway alert and stop-and-go actually responds to conditions by reducing the need to manually adjust speed, apply brakes or disengage cruise control. This type of advanced system can also help alert drivers of slower traffic ahead.
What's even better is that vehicles may soon be able to communicate with each other lowering the chance of crashes. The recent allocation of wireless spectrum for vehicle-to-vehicle safety applications has resulted in a spike in research and standardization activity in the automotive industry. By communicating at speeds far greater than human reaction time, vehicles may soon be able to coordinate their own internal systems to mitigate accidents, as well as communicate with other vehicles with a goal of avoiding them altogether. Onboard computational power makes multifaceted risk-assessment and advice possible in real-time.
Carmakers and governments are working together to develop cooperative, distributed safety systems like these that may dramatically decrease the global number of roadway injuries and deaths. According to prominent researchers in automotive engineering, the convergence of control, communications and computations is making a dramatic impact on automotive design and development and is a major element in improving safety. It may be possible to create a world in which roadway accidents simply aren't a concern - and actually, that reality may not be far away.
More people are hitting the road, and more cars are out there every day - which can mean more dangerous situations if we don't respond quickly, adeptly and to the best of our abilities. The automotive industry understands this. With or without financial hardships, roadways are still active, people are still driving, and lives can still be saved with the right technology and the right integration techniques. So, yes, do a crossword, read a book, communicate well - but also make sure that the seat belt is just one of the safety features between you and the road.
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Klaus H Hemsath has sinced written about articles on various topics from Cars, Politics and Facts about Barack Obama. Dr. Hemsath recently published the book: CLIMATE CHANGE - GOLD RUSH OR DISASTER? For 50 years he has worked as scientist, process engineer, Corporate Vice President of R&D, Company President, CEO, and Inventor. He holds more than 60 US Patents.He is wor. Klaus H Hemsath's top article generates over 5400 views. to your Favourites.