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[T684]The Process Of Decision Making
by Melih Oztalay, Mel
The job of a manager is, above all, to make decisions. At any moment in any day, most executives are engaged in some aspect of decision making: exchanging information, reviewing data, coming up with ideas, evaluating alternatives, implementing directives, following up. But while managers at all levels must play the role of decision maker, the way a successful manager approaches the decision-making process changes as he or she moves up in the organization. At lower levels, the job is to get widgets out the door (or, in the case of services, to solve glitches on the spot). Action is at a premium. At higher levels, the job involves making decisions about which widgets or services to offer and how to develop them.

To climb the corporate ladder and be effective in new roles, managers need to learn new skills and behaviors - to change the way they use information and the way they create and evaluate options. In fact, we've seen in our executive coaching that making decisions like a full-fledged senior executive too soon can hurl an ambitious middle manager right off the fast track. It's just as destructive to act like a first-line supervisor after being bumped up to senior management.

Our in-depth research into the reasons behind executive success and failure confirms just how consistently decision-making styles change over the course of successful executive's careers. We scoured a database of more than 120,000 people to identify the decision-making qualities and behaviors associated with executive success and found that good managers' decision styles evolve in a predictable pattern. Fortunately, struggling managers can often get back on track just by recognizing that they've failed to let go of old habits or that they've jumped too quickly into executive mode.

Defining Decision Styles

Before we look at the patterns, it's helpful to define the decision styles. We have observed that decision styles differ in two fundamental ways: how information is used and how options are created. When it comes to information use, some people want to mull over reams of data before they make any decision. In the management literature, such people are called "maximizers." Maximizers can't rest until they are certain they've found the very best answer.

The result is a well-informed decision, but it may come at a cost in terms of time and efficiency. Other managers just want the key facts - they're apt to leap to hypotheses and then test them as they go. Here, the literature borrows a term from behavioral economist Herbert Simon: "Satisfiers" are ready to act as soon as they have enough information to satisfy their requirements.

As for creating options, "single focus" decision makers strongly believe in taking one course of action, while their "multifocused" counterparts generate lists of possible options and may pursue multiple courses. Single-focus people put their energy into making things come out as they believe they should, multifocus people into adapting to circumstances.

There are three major factors that account for the difficulty the defense has with presenting a general causation case to a jury. They have to do with the ways in which people process information; the relevance of general causation evidence to what the jurors care about; and the complexity of the evidence. This article will discuss the second of these strategies.

We are all familiar with the idea that each side's evidence in a trial is a competing story of what happened. In a toxic tort or products case, the story lines for jurors consistently revolve around two central points. On the one hand there is the behavior of the defendant and whether it knew about, should have known, or could have known about the potential injury to the plaintiff. On the other hand, there is the plaintiff and whether he or she had any control over preventing the injury and what in the plaintiff's life experiences might be responsible for the injury. These are the two competing stories. Juries will view evidence in terms of how relevant it is to each story. That is, there is a hierarchy of evidence. Evidence that is less relevant is more likely to be discounted or forgotten.

From the defense point of view, its strongest story is not the one that defends the company, but the one that focuses on the plaintiff. Testimony from epidemiologists or experts in risk assessment, while related to the plaintiff in a tangential way, is likely to be seen as pretty far down the hierarchy of relevancy. Testimony from the plaintiff is obviously at the top of the hierarchy. We have found that the hierarchy of relevancy typically continues as follows (as it relates to the issue of causation): treating physicians, experts who examined the plaintiff, experts who examined the plaintiff's medical records, experts who treat similar kinds of diseases and injuries, experts who are testifying based on the results of their research and that of others, and epidemiologists. The problem for defense lawyers is that general causation evidence is not that relevant to jurors as they build a story to help them understand the case.

What can be done to improve the defense's general causation presentation? Expert testimony can be made more relevant in the following ways:

1. Have your experts examine the plaintiff, if possible, even if this is not important to their testimony. If this is not possible, have them review the plaintiff's medical records.

2. Select experts who treat patients with the injury about which the plaintiff is complaining.

3. Wherever possible, in discussing scientific studies, discuss where the plaintiff would fit in the sample and in the results (or why the plaintiff cannot be theoretically placed in the studies).

4. Normalize the plaintiff's health issues as much as possible. Show all the ways the plaintiff is similar to his or her cohort in terms of illnesses (or even in better health).

5. Both normalize and differentiate the plaintiff's life style as much as possible from his or her cohorts. That is, both show the ways in which the plaintiff is like us all in that he or she is exposed to toxic chemicals throughout his or her life; but he or she also acted in ways (or was acted upon in ways) that increased his or her risk of injury (apart, of course, from the exposure to the defendant's product).

6. Show how the plaintiff had control over the fact and extent of exposure either through knowledge he or she did, could, or should have had, or actions he or she did (or did not) or could or should have taken. This "assumption of the risk" argument is obvious, but it's opposite, described in the next point, is less so.

7. Show how the defendant had as little control as possible over the exposure (either through knowledge and/or actions). This can run counter to the tendency to want to build up the sophistication of the defense and its leading edge approaches to technology. But in the end, the defense wants the jurors to think that there was little that the defense could have done while there was a great deal that the plaintiff could have done to prevent the injury.

Many of the points described above lie outside the scope of the testimony of an expert on the issue of general causation. But I hope that by now it is clear that all these points will affect the jurors' opinions about general causation. For instance, voluntary exposure to a chemical leads jurors to believe that the chemical poses a lower level of risk. This is so despite the fact that "scientifically" this makes no objective difference.

Conclusion

In everyday life, scientists and lawyers do not behave like scientists and lawyers. For jurors a trial is everyday life. They do not and will not reason like experts. To the lawyer and scientist, jurors may be making mistakes in their reasoning, but they are not. They are doing the reasoning of everyday life. How this is done with scientific evidence can be understood and consequently the evidence can be presented to them in a way that makes sense to everyone, lawyers, scientists, and jurors alike.
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Both Melih Oztalay & David S. Davis, Ph.d. are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Melih Oztalay has sinced written about articles on various topics from Modelling, Site Promotion and PPC Advertising. Melih ("may-lee") Oztalay, CEOSmartFinds Internet MarketingWeb: EMail: melih@hsfideas.com"The Seasoned Executive's Decision-Making Sty. Melih Oztalay's top article generates over 90500 views. to your Favourites.

David S. Davis, Ph.d. has sinced written about articles on various topics from Legal Matters, Legal Matters and self improvement and motivation. David S. Davis, PhD is a founder of and principal in R&D Strategic Solutions, and. David S. Davis, Ph.d.'s top article generates over 4400 views. to your Favourites.
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