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[T820]The World Financial Crisis
by Ursula Knecht, Urs
I was recently asked my views on what is happening in the world financial markets. I am an absolute beginner with that level of money so take the following with a grain of salt. Probably all a bit predictable mate and massive food for the conspiracy theorists as what will inevitably happen is that the Senate will "reluctantly" approve the $700 billion bail out - meaning that battlers get screwed as they lose their homes and CEO's retain not just their jobs but their bonuses... One of the unfortunate side effects of capitalism is that big business has more ability to influence government(s) than regular dudes on the street do. So the "Wall St" people will promise both sides of politics that they will carve them up for dinner unless they get a cash hand out blah blah blah

So then the government effectively becomes the risk taking banker by default but had no choice in selecting the clients who are struggling to pay their mortgage. Most of these people were never going to be able to pay the monthly's they signed up for.* Eventually the government will end up in the same position - no ability to pay its commitments. (If you take a look in Fort Knox where they used to store the gold that backed the dollar you'll see a bunch of IOUs...)

Then there will be a melt down. If you can keep paying your mortgage for a couple of years in the face of skyrocketing prices for food and fuel- everything will sort it self out.

Therefore a government job that you cant get lose (no such thing anymore) would be a good thing... Those of us in business will have to work harder to attract increasingly rare dollars. Belts will be tightened, special deals containing overwhelming value will be offered just to get people to buy.

Low to no cost advertising (net etc) will be bigger than ever.

If you don't have a vegie patch now - you probably will soon.

* If you are not sure what the sub prime thing is all about... People who can't get a regular bank loan because they don't really stack up as a good credit risk go off to mobs (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac etc) that will give them the money and charge a bit more interest. The problem deals have been written with honeymoon periods of 1 to 2 years where the interest rate is 1% - 2%. After the intital period the loan flips to an average of 10%. Many of the people getting these loans are so out of kilter financially that 1 in 15 don't even make it to the first payment. Another 1 out of that 15 doesn't complete the first year. At the two year 'switch over' point 3 of the remaining 13 bail out. Traditionally 'mortgagee in possession' auctions have taken place literally on the Court House steps in the US. Now they happen in convention centers.

The US banks have a new expression. "Jingle Mail" It refers to people walking out and mailing the keys to the house to the bank.

It's currently a time of great depression. Warning bells are ringing worldwide! Recessions have happened even earlier. In the past fifty years we have seen recessions of all hues. But this time it is going to stay much longer. It is going to etch its mark even in third world countries. In the capitalist business cycle, recessions are but common place. To some extent, recessions are good in the sense that they help wash out excesses in the system by clearing away inefficient companies in the fray. It paves way for new competitors who present competition to keep the demand and supply in perfect sync on a long term basis.

The fear was that the whole market would freeze up with the companies winding the day sans basic operations. The situation forecasted is grim with little hope. In the domestic front, the US, along with Japan and Europe are certain to fall into recession by the end of 2008. Jobs are being lost, companies face the threat of total lockout, many are fired, no further recruitments and those with education and skills are lurching in the dark.

There have been an estimated 159,000 jobs lost between September and October and reports of a 0.3% drop in U.S. gross domestic product in the third quarter surely is a condition to create panic. The numbers predict bad news, they harbor great economic depression. It will be all the more difficult if the economy is floated with cheap capital.

How did it all happen? Is it the poor governance and mismanagement that popped the bubble? It is said that the real cause that let loose this crisis was the inflated housing prices. The high prices forced people to go after mortgages from banks that they were sure they wouldn't be able to repay. Both home buyers and loan lenders were eager to make cheap money. It is the aftermath of the global three-ring circus of leverage.

Hedge funds, investors and banks borrowed to buy more debt, stocks and commodities than they would have bought with their hard earned earnings. Pension funds, insurance companies, chief financial officers and money market funds based their capital in the borrowed money. This along with the unpredictability of anything purchased with borrowed money sent panic reactions all over the world driving even the big guns like Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros and Washington Mutual hesitant to invest. This resulted in the credit crunch of this dimension when even money lenders deciding to sit on cash rather than to spend on to reap a good harvest.

The Bush administration is trying all methods to tide over the crisis including a radical bailout plan with a jaw-dropping price tag. A takeover of worthless mortgages and other bad debt holding institutions, which they believe can bring in a half trillion dollars. Because of the federal action taken, the dow jones industrials average rose 368 points after surging 410 points the day before. The president has informed that the government has to intervene to rescue the trailing institutes. He also warns that if he remains idle, the catastrophe will be a thousand times worse than this. Congress is determined to take over damaged mortgages from banks and other companies.

Article Source : Pg. 55

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Both Ursula Knecht & Robert Kokoska are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Ursula Knecht has sinced written about articles on various topics from self improvement and motivation, Fitness and self improvement and motivation. Would you like to discover the full potential in you & get true and lasting Momentum? Take action and access immediately these free illumination secrets at
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