? should I play the money-line or point-spread? These are just some of the questions we askourselves each week when making our NFL football picks. Sports handicappers have many different strategies for analyzing and researching what NFL picks they feel most confident about winning. So what sports handicapping philosophies are the most successful? Although there are no right or wrong answers to this question, there are some convincing reasons why many handicappers prefer to bet on the underdog teams. In this article, we will discuss the roll investor psychology plays when making Your NFL football picks and why it can often be beneficial to bet against the public. To help illustrate this, we will look at the investment tendencies and pitfalls of stock investors and how this relates to NFL sports bettors. We will also look at why the NFL structure and rules of the game have created a more competitive environment and what it means to the average NFL sports bettor.

The investment psychology of the publics plays an important roll in explaining why we tend to play the favorites with our NFL picks. To help illustrate this, lets take a look at the investment psychology of a typical investor in the stock market. As human beings, we all have a tendency to get caught up in the hype. If the market is doing well, we tend to buy the hot stocks and sectors at the high point. On the flip side, if the market is performing poorly, we tend to sell our stock positions at the low point. As a result, we end up buying high and selling low when in fact we want to do just the opposite. The best time to invest in the market is when the blood is in the street and the market is down. Markets tend to get over-sold in a recession just like they tend to get over-bought in a good market.

The same idea holds true with NFL sports bettors. NFL sports bettors tend to get caught up in the hype and select the big favorites or hot teams with their The public loves to go with the popular teams, which are usually the favorites. This can often push an NFL line much higher than it should be. For some reason, bettors don't have the nerves to go with an underdog team when Making their NFL picks. They feel more comfortable taking the favorites with their NFL football picks. We saw this in the super bowl last year with New England and we see it almost every week in the NFL. If you do your research, you can usually find a couple favorites each week that are getting to much respect from the public. This can oftentimes cause the NFL lines to become inflated. A successful sports betting strategy can be accomplished if you have the courage to bet against the public with your NFL picks. Ultimately this means we need to practice reverse psychology and consider betting on the underdogs when making our NFL football picks.

Unlike college, where the BCS system encourages coaches to run the score up on teams, there is no need to do so in the NFL. There is no incentive for NFL coaches to embarrass and blow away their opponents. They are only concerned with winning and keeping their players healthy. Compared to college, the NFL season is very long and physical and the risk of injury is much greater. In the NFL, coaches tend to bench their starters once the game is out of reach. This oftentimes allows big underdogs to score garbage points late in a game to cover the spread.

Over the last few years, the NFL has taken great strides to make the league more competitive. They have implemented new rules to bring more parity to the game. The talent gaps between the best and worst teams have dramatically narrowed and as a result, the games have become more competitive. In fact, over the past few years we have seen teams with losing records the previous years advance far into the playoffs. It is clear that in this day and age, Sundays are more unpredictable and upsets are more prevalent than ever before. So why not take the points with your NFL football picks if any team can win on any given week?