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[M809]Mutual Funds Asset Allocation
by Dwayne, Dwa

You might be wondering whata CTA is.  A CTA is a Portfolio Managerfor derivative products such as foreign exchange, commodities or futures.  If you're familiar with  traditional mutual funds or hedge funds,you'll know the investment decisions are made by a specialist in stocks orbonds.  These are also called equity andfixed income products.

 

An equity fund is managed byan equity Portfolio Manager known as a CFA and a bond fund is managed by afixed income Portfolio Manager also a CFA. Their exists a third type of Portfolio Manager and that is oneresponsible for managing a fund which is invested in products like currency,carbon emissions, precious metals, agriculture products and others.  These Portfolio Managers are known as CTAsand they manage CTA funds sometimes known as a Managed Futures Fund.

 

Despite the obvious, eachinvestment style has its own unique characteristics.  For example, a traditional equity investor only makes money whenthe stock market is rising. They lose money during a falling or bearmarket.  Wouldn't it be fantastic to winno matter which direction the market went. Well that is exactly what happens in a CTA fund.  The CTA can buy or sell at random.  We call this being "long" or"short".  When long, you'rebetting the market is going up and when short, you're betting the market isfalling.  A CTA makes money no matterwhich direction prices are headed.

 

Now that you know thebasics, lets look at why CTA funds have out performed equity and bondfunds.  Since September 2008 the wallstreet induced sub-prime mortgage fiasco has caused stock prices toplummet.  If you held an equity mutualfund or a stock portfolio of your own, you will have lost money.   In fact since Sept 1, 2008 the Dow JonesIndustrial Average has lost 20.36 percent. According to the Managed Futures CTAdatabase, the average CTA Fund YTD ROR (Rate of Return) to June 2009 is +2.14percent.  That's a whopping differenceof 22.50 percent.  These funds aredefinitely worth looking at.

 

A major advantage is theability to trade the underlying commodity product.  Why buy a company that's involved in oil extraction when you canbuy the oil itself.  The reason whystock market investing becomes difficult, is the many different factors thatcome into play.  There is the ability ofmanagement, economic pressure, competitive pressure, union demands, changingconsumer habits and a host of other factors that determine the profitability ofa company.

 

A CTA fund has none of theseissues to contend with.  Investors whopurchase Aluminum or High Grade Copper on the New York Mercantile Exchange areaffected only by issues of Supply And Demand. During economic periods of growth, prices rise and during periods ofrecession, prices fall.  So while yourequity fund is sitting on the sidelines waiting for a market re-bound, the CTAfund is profitably trading a falling market.

 

I would be remiss if I didnot discuss the use of leverage.  Unlikean equity fund, A CTA fund uses leverage. For example, to purchase $100,000 Canadian Dollars cost only $350 to theCTA. So when the dollar rises from 91 cents to 92 cents, the fund makes aprofit of US$1,000.  That equates to a186 percent profit.  If we look at thisfrom another angle it might become clear. To purchase 1,000 barrels of crude oil at US$60 per barrel would costUS$60,000 to the cash consumer.  TheNYMEX charges a deposit, we call this margin, of US$6,000.  Should Crude Oil rise to $65 dollars, theprofit is $5,000 or 83 percent profit.

 

Of course, the use ofleverage can be dangerous as losses can quickly escalate.  Should Crude Oil have fallen to $55 insteadof rising, a loss of $5,000 would have resulted.  Of course, CTA funds are not the only funds to utilizeleverage.  Many equity hedge funds useleverage routinely and depending on your overall investment objective abalanced asset mix will dictate the percentage of your portfolio allocated tosuch a fund.

 

There are many typesof to selectfrom.  Agriculture funds, energyfunds,  foreign exchange funds, indexfunds, fixed income funds and greenhouse gas or global warming funds.  Choose the one that's right for you, butwhen balancing your investment portfolio don't over look  this important sector for proper andcomplete asset allocation.

The analysis, which concentrates on UK funds, is the most comprehensive conducted yet and includes 5 years of data.

The survey examined 1,741 funds and found that over the 5 years to the end of August there were 3,440 manager moves.

It was found that managers are more likely to move during times of stock market turmoil, and unsurprisingly they move less when markets are doing well.

Let's look at some statistics:

- during the 2002/03 bear market, 27% of funds changed hands

- in the year to August 2004 some 23% changed hands

- in 2005 it was 19%

- and 15% in 2006

But what do all these moves mean to you?

If the manager(s) of your investment fund(s) have moved during the last 2 years (and the likelihood is that some will have) you have a number of options:

- leave your money invested where it is

- find out where the fund manager has moved to and transfer your money there (check the details of the fund on offer)

- take a step back and look at whether your money is being invested with a STRATEGIC investment philosophy, as opposed to a TACTICAL approach

The reality (in our experience) is that many investors are following the tactical approach. They hold a number of funds, perhaps with a handful of product providers, and have no real idea where their money is actually invested or which fund managers are in charge anyway.

In fact, one recent client that we dealt with had total investments (Pensions, ISAs, PEPs) of £300,000, spread across 6 providers and 13 funds. Once the overall portfolio was broken down we saw that he had an 89% exposure to equities/shares. When we analysed his attitude to risk it was shown that he would be uncomfortable with more than 55% exposure to equities.

We also calculated that he did not need to take as much equity risk that he was as he was on track to achieve his overall retirement income goals.

What we did in this case was alter his overall portfolio so that:

- his exposure to equities was reduced to 50%

- we created a portfolio that was invested predominantly in low cost asset class institutional funds

- we added a percentage of bond funds to act as an insurance against market falls

- we adopted a 'buy and hold' strategy to minimise fund trading costs (if you don't know what these are you need to find out)

Academic studies show that Strategic Asset Allocation is behind 90% of a portfolio's return. Ibbotson Associates conducted research that shows that:

- 91.5% of a portolio's return is due to strategic asset allocation

- 4.6% is due to stock picking

- 1.8% is due to tactical asset allocation (market timing)

And William Bernstein of The Intelligent Asset Allocator said:

"Market timing and security selection are obviously important. The problem is that nobody achieves long-term success in the former, and almost nobody in the latter. Asset allocation is the only factor affecting your investments that you can actually influence"

So why don't investors folow this path if all the research points this way?

There are a number of reasons:

- ignorance (never heard of it)

- ignorance (heard of it but can't be bothered)

- greed (I can pick best performing funds and beat the market)

- ego (I know best, don't tell me what to do)

- conditioning (I don't want to do something my peers are not)

And no doubt there are many other reasons.

Some in the fund management industry will have you believe that all you have to do is pick a few good funds and you'll be well on the way to making great returns on your capital.

Of course, this could happen, but all the research points to adopting a DIFFERENT approach. One which you're probably not aware of right now.

So what can you do?

Simple.

Find out how this alternative approach works. Do your research, just as we have.

The Financial Tips Bottom Line

Think about this for a minute.

As impartial advisers we are able to recommend ANY fund from the thousands available.

What we've done though is take a step back (a number of years ago) and look at the alternative investment methods available to our clients. All based around Strategic Asset Allocation.

Maybe it's time for you to do the same.

ACTION POINT

The reality is that we have yet to meet a new client who understands the importance of asset allocation (and the majority have never heard of it). Just google the term and you'll see 2.8m results.

The good news is that it's relatively easy to implement a strategic asset allocation approach with your investments. It's just a case of knowing which buttons to press to make it happen.
Article Source : How Is The Stock Market Doing

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Both Dwayne & Ray Prince are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Dwayne has sinced written about articles on various topics from Investments, Stock and Finances. Dwayne Strocen is a registered CTA, Portfolio Manager. He manages the Global Climate Fund, an environmentally friendly hedge fund focused on the reduction of greenhouse gases. Website:. Dwayne's top article generates over 1600 views. to your Favourites.

Ray Prince has sinced written about articles on various topics from Finances, Babies and Property Guide. Ray Prince is an Independent Financial Planner with Rutherford Wilkinson plc, and helps UK Resident Doctors and Dentists get the best deals on mortgages, protection and investments, as well as helping them achieve their financial objectives. Click here fo. Ray Prince's top article generates over 33100 views. to your Favourites.
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