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[B245]Bear Market Mutual Funds
by Fritz Pfister, Fri
The recipe for slow growth is firmly in place. Take evaporated disposable income going toward everyday necessities like food and, gas, mixed with a dash of higher unemployment, dysfunctional government, inane energy policy, high taxes, pulled pork (earmarks/farm subsidies), and you will get a heaping helping full of wait and see stew.

This is the wealthiest country on earth, and there's plenty of money to be spent. The average family is pulling back out of necessity, the upper middle income folks are sitting tight, and the wealthy wait to see if their earnings will be stolen through confiscation by Obama to pay for more government bureaucratic entitlement failures. These are the primary sources of uncertainty, and the pull back in consumer spending.

If you must sell a home you can take heart, people still need a place to live. There will be homes selling, just not in the numbers most markets are accustomed to seeing. Who will sell, and who won't?

This is Springfield Illinois where the market was spoiled with over 4000 homes being sold annually for the preceding four years. This is a new year which has home sales on pace for about 3400. This is not a crash, more of a return to more normal levels of sales. The challenge is the number of homes for sale, continuing to set records. There are more homes listed for sale today, 1974, than will have sold during the first six months of 2008.

This is called competition of the highest order; fewer buyers, more sellers. The result? Unlike the robust years of the recent past, low offers, short appraisals, stricter financing requirements, longer time on the market, and a lower sale price to list price ratio are the norm. Not to mention foreclosures and short sales.

So how does one successfully sell their home in these bear market conditions? Know the holy grail of home selling; price, condition, and agent selection. These are the deal makers, or deal breakers. Experience is often overrated, however not when selling a home under these conditions. An agent that has experienced buyer markets is infinitely better suited to advise you on the primary components of getting sold; price, and condition.

My advice is to hire the best agent and company in your market. That would be an agent with a proven sales record, with top quality Internet presentation, and marketing materials. Ask to see samples. Trust but verify agent's, and company's claims.

Establish a pricing plan before you list your home. This market is changing faster than a teenage girl's mood. Knowing where you are going with the price at prescribed times while on the market, will increase your chances of selling threefold. How do I know? Since introducing my pricing plan strategy, three times as many of my listings have sold and closed as the average of the top twenty five agents in the market. There are 690 agents.

Have your home inspected, and make repairs before you list your home. Offer a copy of the inspection report to financially approved home buyers that show interest, then sell 'as is'. This eliminates the opportunity for buyers to leverage more money from you following their inspection. Buyer's want their own inspector? No problem, give the buyers first right of refusal to write an offer while they have the home inspected. Seven days should be sufficient. Then negotiate the sale price of your home. Once.

There is a plethora of information available regarding preparing a home for sale. Let me make it easy for you. Everything you do is to create a sense of cleanliness, and spaciousness. If flooring needs replaced, replace it. Walls need painting, paint them. Use the 'I would' rule; if anything causes you to pause and think, 'should I do this?', I would.

Do you have to give your home away in order to sell? No. You just need to be better priced than your competition.

Do you need to make your home like new? No. Just so your home shows better than your competition.

Do you have to hire the best agent/company in the market? No. Just one better than your competitors hired.

It's like the fellow who was slowly reaching for his shoes while camping with a friend when they spotted a bear heading toward their campsite. The man's friend said; you can't out run a bear. The man replied; I don't have to out run the bear, just you.

How can you identify these potential big winners? Well, the first good sign is a stock that has actually been rising while the market has been heading lower. The list of these stocks is actually pretty small. You can find a list of stocks making new 52 week highs or with high Relative Strength ratings in Investors Business Daily or in the Wall Street Journal. Personally, I use the TC2000 software produced by Worden Brothers.

After you have compiled a list of stocks that are emerging as leaders, you need to do a little more homework. One strategy for finding great new investments is the CANSLIM method discussed by William O'Neil in his book "How to Make Money in Stocks.". This book is an excellent read and a great source for learning how to invest and trade individual stocks. However, it is not a mechanical method for trading and requires some knowledge about a company's business, management and products.

I prefer a method more similar to that discussed in Nicholas Darvas' classic book, "How I Made $2 Million In The Stock Market." This methodology identifies the stocks that have been rising the fastest on good volume, and then, using his Box method, determines a point of entry. Exiting the trade is a little more subjective as far as the initial stop loss is concerned, and using the pyramiding boxes as trailing stops can leave a lot of money on the table when the stock's trend is over.

However, there are many different styles of investing and trading, and one would do well to conduct significant research into the Darvas method and the CANSLIM method. I also recommend the work of Gary Smith, author of "How I Trade For A Living" and "Live The Dream By Profitably Daytrading Stock Index Futures."

Now is the time to start looking hard at the stock market for the next group of big winners. They may not appear for a few months, but the easiest and fastest money made in the stock market is in the first couple years of a bull market. Furthermore, even if the next big rally turns out to just be an intermediate term rally within the context of a larger bear market, there will be a few stocks worthy of trading to catch that ride up.

Do your homework, and your portfolio will benefit handsomely in the years to come!

Copyright (c) 2008 Scott Cole
Article Source : Pg. 12

About Author
Both Fritz Pfister & Scott Cole are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Fritz Pfister has sinced written about articles on various topics from Real Estate, Prospects and Sell Home. Fritz Pfister is a licensed Realtor with RE/MAX Professionals Springfield Illinois.Fritz is a leader in the local real estate market and hosts a live one hour radio program, now in its' 13th year.Fritz's website is. Fritz Pfister's top article generates over 3600 views. to your Favourites.

Scott Cole has sinced written about articles on various topics from Sell Home, Forex Guide and Bull Stock Market. Scott Cole is a stock market analyst who specializes in developing trading systems for trading high momentum stocks. He is the owner of the websites
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