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Brother Can You Spare A Dime

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We all remember that old question that gained such popularity during the Great Depression. Brother can you spare a dime is the one quote that comes to mind about how bad that era was. For those who are too young to have lived during that time, all we have to do is ask the old timers if that it what they believe is happening today. Many of them will tell the warning signs are all there for that particular time to repeat itself.



We are watching banks beginning to fail and seemingly out of the blue. A few months ago there were whispers that our economy was in trouble, but now we are hearing big businesses and politicians practically screaming that something has to be done and done now in order to keep our country from complete economic collapse. We are watching the costs of fuel, groceries, and loan interest all go in the wrong direction. We are seeing people all over the country losing their homes to foreclosure and their jobs being eliminated because they are being eliminated or are being given to people over seas.

It seems that in only a few years the American Dream has become put in extreme jeopardy and many are asking the question of how in the world it got to this point so quickly. It does not bode well for the average American household at all. If you were already struggling to stay afloat financially before, what do you suppose is in store for us now? Is the time shortly coming when we see men who used to be employed with a good job and supporting their families standing on street corners begging for a dollar or two just to feed buy a loaf of bread? If things can not be turned around pretty fast, that is exactly what might happen.

When things start getting bad, we all know that people will begin pulling their money out of banks and this can start a domino effect that could cause those with investments to lose everything at the drop of a hat. This is basically what happened in the Great Depression. Wall Street is where the suffering is going on now and when Wall Street suffers it always tends to have a trickle down affect on the rest of us who might not even own a single stock of any kind. When big companies lose money, they lay people off, they can not expand, and sometimes they have to shut down all together.

No one really wants to loan all of these big money lending companies a huge sum of money so they can stay in business, because for the most part it is their own fault for being in the mess they are in, but if they all fail and we are the ones end of bearing the brunt of the suffering, do we really have any choice except to support their bail out?
Brother Can You Spare A Dime
Since its creation in 2002, the ?euro? ----a Frankenstein creation that replaced the former currencies of 12 European countries like France, Germany and Italy--- has beaten the socks off the American greenback. Back then, the euro limped out of the gate at a parity with the greenback. It quickly dropped to around 86 cents for every dollar.

That was then. As of November 11, 2007, Veteran's Day here in the U.S., the euro is worth 1.46 American dollars. A single euro now buys 46% more than its American peer.

We've scratched our heads in this column about the decline of the dollar. What's happening now is unprecedented.

The dollar has fallen to a 26-year low against the British pound. It has fallen to a 33-year low against the Canadian dollar.

What has happened to put the dollar in a free fall / Throughout the last century, every American President and every American Treasury Secretary has repeated the mantra that ?a strong dollar is American policy?. As recently as October 10, two weeks before the G-7 Summit, both the current President and the current Treasury Secretary recited the mantra by heart.

? I feel very strongly that a strong dollar is in our nation's interest,? stated Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, formerly Chairman of Goldman Sachs.

What's missing is the ?and therefore?. In the past, severe drops in dollar values have brought strong corrective actions, a buy back of the dollar in effect to prop up the value. No such cavalry charge is coming in the current climate. In fact, some have suggested that the current U.S. policy is a smug contentment that the decline of the dollar has boosted US exports by about 15%, since our exports are now cheaper for foreigners.

Which leaves all of us to wonder aloud?what happens if the dollar's free fall continues? Is there any safety net down there?

Don't bet on it. Secretary Paulson ha started adding a caveat to that ol? strong-dollar mantra. ?and we believe that currency values should be set in a competitive marketplace based on underlying economic fundamentals.?

Those underlying fundamentals are weak now in the U.S. A mortgage market meltdown, coupled with an economy strained by the $576 billion cost of war have all but tapped out the U.S. economy for the time being. We are now in hock. We are the largest debtor nation on earth.

And what happens when we take out some of our retirement in the form of those weakened dollars? A hidden costs of letting the dollar sink is that the buying power of those retirement savings ---once they are converted to dollars ?is getting pretty pitiful. Worsening the situation is that, unlike many citizens of foreign countries, Americans who desire to keep their cash in euros find very few US banks offering that flexibility. Some German banks (Deutsche Bank) and on-line banks (everbank) have begun offering accounts to Americans denominated in other currencies.

Brother, can you spare a euro?

See ?The Incredible Shrinking Dollar?, www.collectivewizdom.com
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