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Business Valuation Discounts And Premiums

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Despite the fact that there are accepted and recognized business valuation practices, valuation is always subject to individual opinion and can be swayed hugely by the ulterior motives of the appraiser.



For example, someone wanting to sell his business may conduct a business valuation to determine an asking price. He obviously wants to get the most money for the business as possible. A potential buyer however, wants to purchase the business for the least amount of money possible. He may conduct his own business valuation and offer a much lower number. Thus, occasional disputes over business valuation are inevitable.

In situations such as these it is only practical to turn to the experts for resolving discrepancies in value perception; professional sports.

Final-offer, or "baseball," arbitration has been employed primarily to settle public sector labor contract issues where labor does not have the right to strike and, within major league baseball, to resolve salary disputes for players who are not eligible for free agency and can bargain only with their current clubs.

Baseball arbitration requires that the arbitrator choose the position of one party or the other in the final decision. While the reward for winning in baseball arbitration can be large, the risk of losing (and being subjected to the other party's valuation) is also substantial. This risk/reward dichotomy often produces a strong incentive to find ways to compromise with the opposing party and make concessions that otherwise would not be made.

Applying this principle to business valuation generally has the same ultimate result, that of closing the gap between the final offers of both parties.

It is the uncertainty inherent in baseball arbitration that accounts for the process working so well; if the arbitrator's expected value were known for certain, all business valuation submissions would equal this number, eliminating risk of losing the arbitration, but also giving up potential rewards. Therefore, the best strategy to employ in the arbitration process is to estimate the arbitrator's expected value. This causes the parties to look at business valuation in a more removed, objective light, as the arbitrator would do.

When the expected valuation has been estimated, the parties weigh the risks and rewards that result from submitting a value in the arbitration that differs from the arbitrator's expected value. This involves a level of gamesmanship-if a party's submitted value deviates too far from the arbitrator's value, that party will lose. Therefore, each side will tend to move closer to the expected value as the arbitration progresses, making baseball arbitration an effective method to overcome disputes in business valuation.
Business Valuation Discounts And Premiums
It is not a mere truism that ?no one knows the future for sure? when it comes to business valuation! Do not allow zealous defense of point estimates and forecasts sway you, because if something can go wrong, it probably will! There are no financial gains in revengeful performance appraisals, and the authors of that horribly wrong business valuation of the past, may not be around anyhow! A decade is par for the course when it comes to business valuation: how much of today did you foresee a decade ago?

Crafty business valuation presenters tuck their statements of and slides on assumptions for the part when you eyelids feel a bit heavy! So why not turn the tables, and ask for assumptions and their sensitivity upfront? A project with a narrow band between the best and worst case scenarios, might be a wiser choice, than another which either takes you to the top or to obliteration forever!

Modeling and computers make sensitivity analysis a cinch, and you should ask for a screen at which you can tweak as many independent variables as possible, just to see what it can do to the ultimate business valuation. This calls for an enormous amount of work, though you may enjoy clicking a mouse, because you know what happens when garbage substitutes careful projections in a business valuation model! The best way around such a conundrum is to fashion the business valuation exercise such that participants are forced to think through and to validate the figures they spout under each scenario.
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