As a mortgage broker I can tell you that the past several years have been bludgeoned with careless and inappropriate lending. It's no surprise to me that large well known banks are suffering huge losses as a result of bad mortgages turning sour. Whatever you do, do not feel sorry for them. Everyone from WAMU a.k.a. Long Beach Mortgage, Countrywide, Chase, and a slew of companies you've never heard of all flooded mortgage brokers with short skirt account reps pushing crazy ideas like a 580 credit score mortgage with no money down and no real income verification. Are you kidding me?
Good lord. Lets see. You're a substitute teacher with marginal credit, lets say a 599 credit score and we just approved you for a mortgage loan of $150,000 and you put no money down. Here in Texas that's a monthly payment of at least $1500 with taxes and insurance included. Per salary.com a substitute teacher averages $18,000 per year. Holy cow! That's $1500 per month. How on earth would anyone think that loan makes sense? Maybe this person isn't going to eat, drink or have modern utilities in their home. NOT!
Before we smear these giants to pieces here I would like to praise them for the products that did make sense. The ones that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were reluctant to lend to such as the small business owner who grosses $500,000 per year but has a bottom line of $50,000. With a decent credit score of at least 680 you could get the ever popular 80/20 loan and purchase that new home with little our no money out of pocket.
The aftermath of all of it has left a bad taste in the mouths of many who rely on real estate as a career. Folks that were top producers a few years ago are now looking for part time work. Realtors and loan officers across the country are trading in there Jaguars and Mercedes for late model Lincolns and Chevy's.
I can remember back in 1996 when Bank United unveiled the 20% down minimum credit score of 680 no income verification mortgage. Why wouldn't they? The credit score says they borrower is somewhat creditworthy and the down payment alone should be enough to make the bank feel secure.
Right here, right now at the tail end of 2008 banks are still lending money. Lots and lots of it. The media will tell you that no one can get a mortgage these days and that's just not the case. Of course the guidelines have tightened up as they should have. Appraisals are being reviewed to ensure value and regardless of who you are you must verify both your income and your assets. We hope to at some point get back a few of the lower LTV products such as the aforementioned Bank United product.
Put yourself in the banks shoes and ask this one question that the Wall Street greed fiends obviously didn't. If it were your money, would you lend it?
Effects Of The Credit Crunch
The Credit Crunch has hit and house prices are plummeting, while everyone feels the pinch. We could be headed for recession, and that means bad news for anyone who is already struggling to keep up with their mortgage and debt payments. Smart players, however, look set to make small (or occasionally very large) fortunes out of the crunch. Here's how:
Play the housing game
House prices are dropping and interest rates look set to rise. Many people will not be able to keep up with mortgage payments and the market will therefore be flooded with underpriced houses. Rather than being a bad time for housing this could be a very good time, if you can afford to buy. After the crunch is over the house prices are likely to rise again, and interest rates to drop. A good time to own an excess of property, then.
Bet on the loser
Short-selling, or betting that shares will fall, is a way of earning money during times of financial difficulty. Banks have been in plenty of trouble lately, and being able to recognise drops in their share prices in advance using techniques such as spread bets and fixed-odds financial bets have led a number of investors becoming rich. Business schools warn, however, that only one in five spread-bets makes any money, so you will need to do your research first.
Play the stock market
With all this talk of recession it's hard to imagine that investing in shares is a good idea at the moment, but that is not necessarily true. Many companies are still thriving, and investments in large oil companies could well prove lucrative at this stage. The market may be down, but that doesn't make it worthless. A lot of people will be turning their attention to their own finances at this time, which of course we all need to do, but that doesn't mean we can't keep an eye on the finances of prospering companies too.
Of course, all of these strategies come with the element of risk. It is just as easy to lose money as to gain it, particularly if you don't know what you're doing. Find out as much as you can before considering any of the above, as with any other financial gamble.
Get crunch-friendly
If these ideas seem too much risk for you then an alternative is to look for ways to alter or create your own business to make it crunch-friendly. People haven't got as much money to spare, so everyone's on the look-out for a bargain. Selling your product at two-thirds the price of your competitor might make you more sales, which adds up to more in the long run, and selling factory seconds or second-hand goods might appeal to the bargain-hunters out there.
Both John Rasor & Owen Smith are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
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