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House Price To Income

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Year-on-year inflation in the value of property stood at 4.2 per cent, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from December. Monthly declines were less significant, but the average property was down by 0.1 per cent in value over the course of the month, compared with a 0.4 per cent drop in the last month of 2007. House prices in general are now at a similar level to that of April last year, the figures show, having dropped by nearly 6,000 pounds since their peak in October. The number of loans approved for house purchases has also fallen, with the Bank of England reporting that 73,000 secured loans were taken out by homebuyers in December.



This is the lowest figure since July 1995 and prompted shadow chief secretary to the Treasury Philip Hammond to accuse prime minister and former chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown of "economic incompetence". He said: "The collapse in mortgage lending shows that the credit crunch in the financial markets is now having a serious effect on the real economy, depressing housing market activity and house prices. Gordon Brown's economic incompetence has left Britain less well prepared than almost any other large economy to deal with an economic slowdown."

Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics, adds that household lending figures for December further indicate the effects of the credit crunch, explaining that "a particularly heavy fall" was detected in the number of personal loans and overdrafts being taken out. Total consumer credit - including that on credit cards and unsecured loans - exhibited a monthly growth rate of 0.6 billion pounds, down by 40 per cent on the average monthly increase of 1 billion pounds over the previous year. Just 0.3 billion pounds of unsecured loans and overdrafts were arranged in the month, less than a quarter of the 1.4 billion pounds taken out in October 2007.

Commenting on data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors which shows the supply of properties in the market and the number of Britons looking to purchase a new house are more in balance than has been the case in previous months, Ms Redwood observes that "tighter credit conditions are starting to bite". Consumers looking to meet their mortgage repayments, as well as those hoping to clear the balance on their credit cards, could find an unsecured loan to be the ideal means of doing so. Alternatively, those who have already borrowed beyond their level of affordability might prefer to opt for a debt consolidation loan to combine the amount they owe into a single lower monthly repayment.

Taking out a personal loan might be particularly useful for the 91 per cent of people revealed in a recent swiftcover survey to have regretted making an impulse purchase in the last two months. One in six respondents stated that they impulse buy at least once a month, which could lead them to face difficulty in meeting repayments on their mortgage, credit card or unsecured loan.
House Price To Income
In research carried out by Nationwide, house prices increased by 0.1 per cent during July - the lowest rate of growth recorded since April 2006. Following three previous months witnessing double-digit increases, the latest figures were said to bring the annual rate of property inflation down to 9.9 per cent. Overall, the average British property is now reported to be worth 184,270 pounds - 200 pounds above June statistics and some 16,537 pounds higher than this time last year.

Fionnuala Earley, chief economist for the financial services firm, said: "After surprisingly picking up steam in June, house prices were almost unchanged in July and their underlying trend growth resumed a downward path" She claimed that the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) now faces uncertainty on whether to increase the base rate of interest in coming months. Although house prices are slowing down as households are finding themselves under increased financial pressure, Ms Earley reported that the MPC could delay an interest rate hike as it continues to judge the effect of previous increases on public spending. However, the analyst stated that the base rate could yet increase to six per cent in the future as a result of rising retail sales and higher oil prices, despite there being a risk of "monetary overkill".

Meanwhile, prospective property buyers were said to be becoming more financially aware of how the recent climate of interest rate rises could affect their ability to make mortgage repayments. The study indicated that as the proportion of disposable income has fallen over the last six months, consumers are said to be "thinking twice about overstretching themselves" before purchasing a home. Research from the firm also showed more borrowers are opting to take out a fixed-rate product to help keep their monthly outgoings consistent as the MPC is forecasted to raise the base rate further in the coming months.

Commenting on the study, Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist for Global Insight, said: "Affordability pressures have been magnified by the Bank of England's lifting interest rates by a further 25 basis points to 5.75 per cent in July and there remains a very strong possibility that interest rates will rise to six per cent in the autumn, which is likely to act as a significant deterrent to many potential house buyers. Meanwhile, a substantial number of homeowners will see their mortgage bills rise markedly during the second half of the year as the cheap fixed-rates that they took out two years ago expire".

Consequently, Mr Archer claimed that "growing affordability pressures" are making it evermore difficult for both prospective first-time buyers and existing homeowners to purchase a property and make secured loan repayments.

Earlier this month, a Nationwide study indicated that although values increased throughout the country between April and June, the rate of property price growth is slowing down. Over the course of the second quarter, the typical home rose by 2.1 per cent in comparison to growth of 2.3 per cent during the first three-month period of the year. The research also indicated that London and Northern Ireland were driving house price growth.
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