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Illusion Of US And Japanese Prosperity

    View: 
I suggest a reality check is needed to open their



eyes about the buying power of their debased

currencies. A reality check can often be provided

by doing some foreign travel, especially to

Europe, but also to the Middle East or developed

Asia. The reality is that the buying power of

these two groups outside of the U.S. or Japan has

fallen by over 25% in the last few years.

THE RISING COSTS OF LIVING

Food, shelter and the basic necessities of life

have gotten very expensive. While they have not

been noticing, the U.S. and Japanese citizen's

buying power has eroded on a global basis over

the last four years. During those four years, the

Yen and U.S. dollar have been about flat in value

versus one another. Over the same period the Euro,

British Pound, Swedish Krona, Swiss Franc, and

during the last year or two, even the Indian

Rupee and Chinese Yuan, have risen substantially

versus the Dollar and Yen. U.S. dollar-based

investors and Yen-based investors need to expose

their portfolios to assets where the prices are

rising, or to stocks in those geographies where

the standard of living is rising. This simple

theme is behind most of our investment opinions.

Our strategy simply put, is to invest in the

countries and industries which are growing.

GOLD AND BASE METALS ARE OBVIOUS EXAMPLES

Gold is in demand as a hedge against devaluing

currencies, and it is in demand for hoarding and

protecting wealth, and as a store of value. As

nations and individuals become wealthier, they

hold more gold. This is especially true in India,

China and East Asia, where gold has long held a

position as a safe and secure alternative to

paper currencies.

Base metals are in demand due to the

infrastructure building that is taking place in

the developing countries around the globe.

Economic growth is the model that these countries

are following, and sustainable economic growth is

based on a stable and growing infrastructure

including physical, economic, educational, legal,

financial and social infrastructure.

Because this global trend towards infrastructure

building is not likely to abate in the near

future, prices of materials will stay high, and

the buying power of the citizens in the slow-

growth countries will continue to erode.

These articles are for informational purposes

only and are not intended to be a solicitation,

offering or recommendation of any security. Guild

Investment Management does not represent that the

securities, products, or services discussed in

this web site are suitable or appropriate for all

investors. Any market analysis constitutes an

opinion that may not be correct. Readers must

make their own independent investment decisions.

The information in this article is not intended

for distribution to, or use by, any person or

entity in any jurisdiction or country where such

distribution or use would be contrary to law or

regulation, or which would subject Guild

Investment Management to any registration

requirement within such jurisdiction or country.

Any opinions expressed herein, are subject to

change without notice. In addition, there are

many market, currency, economic, political,

business, technological and other risks that are

beyond our control. We make reasonable efforts to

provide accurate content in these articles;

however, some content and some of the assumptions,

formulas, algorithms and other data that impact

the content may be inaccurate, outdated, or

otherwise inappropriate. In addition, we may have

conflicts of interest with respect to any

investments mentioned. Our principals and our

clients may hold positions in investments

mentioned on the site or we may take positions

contrary to investments mentioned.

Guild's current and past market commentaries are

protected by copyright. Apart from any use

permitted under the Copyright Act, you must not

copy, frame, modify, transmit or distribute the

market commentaries, without seeking the prior

consent of Guild.
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Monty Guild has sinced written about articles on various topics from Investing and Trading, Investments and Stock. Monty Guild founded Guild Investment Management in 1971. Prior to founding the company he was an analyst at a bank and a hedge fund. For more information on global invesment visit
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