The year of 2007 has been an unprecedented year for the industrial property market. The rentals and occupancy rates for all kinds of industrial space indicate the extreme demand which was present. A number of business park sites were sanctioned, a fourth industrial REIT began functioning and 10 industrial sites were allotted in 2007.
There was continuous increase in the average occupancy rate of prestigious space. It improved to 92.8% at the end of 2007 from 91.1% at the end of 2006. The average occupancy rate for business parks rose by 5% points each year and ended at a calculated rate of 89% in the end of 2007.
Average monthly tariffs for factory slots advanced at a lesser pace to $1.45 per square foot and rents for ground and upper floor slots improved by $1.20 per square foot. Factory rents increased by $0.05 per square foot in every quarter of 2007. This was a surge over 2006.
For the whole year rents were stationary at $1.25 per square foot for ground floor units and $1 per square foot for upper floor units. The average monthly rent for warehouses was $1.45 per square foot for ground floor units and $1.15 per square foot for upper floor units at the end of 2007 which was an increase from 2006 when the rents remained at $1.25 per square foot for ground floor units and $1.05 per square foot for upper floor units.
The average capital cost for warehouses got boosted by about 10% in the year 2007 to reach $424 and $370 per square foot for ground floor units and upper floor units respectively. For the first time in Q3 07 the occupancy rate for warehouses passed the 90% mark. Factories showed steady increase in terms of occupancy rate.
2007 also witnessed the launch of a number of upcoming business parks. This includes business facilities in Changi Business Park with Citibank as the main tenant and the facility to be unveiled in the International Business Park. These two parks are predicted to be completed by some time in 2009. Singapore Science Park will go through an extensive $400-million renovation which will be completed in three different phases over the next decade. If everything goes as expected the two projects can attain a total gross floor area of 91,776 sm (987,877 sf).
10 industrial ($190.5 million) sites were revealed through the course of the year under the government land sales mission. This is an improvement over the seven sites ($86.9 million) awarded in the year 2006. The most notable tender was the 30-year leasehold Commonwealth Drive/Lane site which netted a record-high of $171 psf/plot ratio. The other nine sites launched in the year earned from $23 psf/plot ratio to $72 psf/plot ratio. MI- REIT revealed its IPO in April 2007 with tentative portfolio of 12 properties priced at about $316.2 million. The REIT also bought a warehouse in Japan for $29.2 million which was its first foreign purchase in Q4 07.
Rents and occupancy rates of all kinds of industrial slots which include hi-tech buildings and business & science parks had a steady boost in 2007. This trend is predicted to continue in 2008 as well. Manufacturing had a significant impact on the Singapore economy over the years. It has been expected that it will remain in that way in the upcoming years as well, particularly considering the strong support the manufacturing sector has been receiving from the government across the last few decades.
The impacts of the recent US sub prime worries should have a significant impact on the demand for industrial space in the short-medium term. But when you consider the bigger picture manufacturers are presumed to continue with their investment plans in Singapore for the coming years. Thus the demand for industrial space can be expected to remain healthy.
Industrial Property For Lease
The second quarter continued to record upbeat performance in most of Asia's industrial property markets, buttressed by sustained growth in the manufacturing sector and robust demand in logistics facilities. Industrial land prices in China appreciated further following the establishment of a system of minimum industrial land prices and the implementation of mandatory use of market mechanisms in the primary sales of industrial land.
In Japan, vacancy at large-scale multi-tenant distribution centres in and around Tokyo edged up by 50 basis points over the quarter to 8.9 per cent, as continued demand from 3PL operators was offset by the completion of new facilities. With a strong development pipeline, competition among landlords to attract tenants intensified, resulting in downward pressure on rents.
Despite weaker market conditions, logistics assets continued to attract interest from both overseas and domestic private funds, and market sentiment suggests that the perceived risk premium for the sector is diminishing on the back of its growing acceptance as an investment class.
Average rents for all industrial space in Singapore continued to increase in the second quarter of 2007, with high-tech space posting its highest quarterly increase in five years. Rents are expected to rise further due to supply constraints in the office market and increasing demand amid optimism about business conditions.
The combined effect of the newly opened Hong Kong-Shenzhen Western Corridor and booming trading activity in Hong Kong has ensured that demand for local industrial properties persisted and property values continued to rise in the second quarter. However, limited stock and multiple ownership of local industrial properties made large-scale acquisitions difficult and smaller industrial buildings made up most of the quarter's en bloc transactions.
In Mainland China, the second quarter saw full implementation of the policies requiring industrial land to be sold through public bidding, auction and listing. Industrial property rents and prices in cities under survey generally continued to increase or remained stable.
In Beijing, the average industrial rent was RMB 52.1 per square meter, an increase of 2 per cent compared with the first quarter. The price of industrial land, at RMB 1,200 per square meter, registered 4.1 per cent growth compared with the previous quarter.
The land use rights of 120 industrial sites in Shanghai were transferred under the new regime during the second quarter. Industrial land prices rose 2.2 per cent quarter on quarter to RMB 898.8 per square meter (RMB 83.5 per square feet), while the average facility rent increased 0.8 per cent to RMB 31.5 per square meter (RMB 2.9 per square feet) per month.
In Vietnam, the value of Ho Chi Minh City's industrial output increased by 12.6 per cent quarter on quarter in the first half of 2007, but at a rate slightly lower than the 13 percent growth rate during the same period last year. Lawsuits regarding leather and footwear exports to Europe and garment and textile exports to the United States have led to the loss of some major contracts, one cause of the drop in the growth rate.
However major high-tech investments and industrial park development projects were announced during the quarter. Hanoi's second quarter GDP growth of 11.2 per cent was the highest in the past five years. During the first half of 2007, an estimated US$120 million of investment capital entered industrial parks, 71 per cent of the amount in the same period of 2006, with the decline due to lack of available space. The total income of FDI enterprises in industrial parks increased sharply as WTO commitments enabled direct transactions with overseas partners with preferential tariffs and trading rules.
The prospect of a general election in Thailand at the end of the year or in early 2008 acted to slightly improve market confidence in the second quarter, while the government's approval of tax incentives for automakers investing at least THB 5 billion in eco-car manufacturing spurred investment in the sector. However sales of industrial land in the second quarter remained subdued and the full impact of these positive developments is only likely to be felt from the second half of the year onwards.
Activity in the semiconductor, manufacturing and electronics sectors continued to dominate activity in the Philippines' industrial property markets. Amid a shortage of traditional office space, the majority of ICT/ITeS companies have relocated to business and industrial parks to take advantage of the flexibility and incentives they offer. There has also been strong demand for industrial properties from shipbuilding, logistics and utilities companies, due to the present upbeat demand conditions.
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