In some of the hardest hit housing markets in the country, deflation has reached double-digit numbers. While the entire country is experiencing housing woes, California appears to be the hardest hit. The primary reason for this is that over the past few months California has seen the highest rate of deflating home prices. In fact, California house prices have dropped at unprecedented levels.
Miami, Florida is proving to be a very difficult market also. A weak mortgage market and record high foreclosures have led to a fall in home prices as well. Over the past 2 years, Miami has had one of the worst housing markets in the country. The high flying condo boom of just a few years ago has added to the problems of the current massive real estate bust.
While Florida and California may have been easy to predict as being among the first housing markets to crumble when the real estate market crashed, there are other markets that are on the precipice of falling which have not been as easy to predict. One of the primary reasons that Florida and California were poised to fall so rapidly were rapidly escalating home values during the boom a few years ago.
Other markets, however, did not rise as much or as quickly, which could be one reason why they have managed to avoid reaching the top of the list; at least until now. These markets include Nevada, Indiana, Arizona and Massachusetts. Declining home prices as well as high rates of foreclosures in these states are also contributing to their worsening real estate market conditions. In Michigan, where layoffs have been significant, the economy is playing a strong role.
Problems are expected to grow worse in many markets as several million adjustable rate mortgages are scheduled to be reset in the coming months. As these mortgages are reset, it is logical to assume that even more homeowners will find themselves facing the reality of being unable to pay their monthly mortgage payments in certain markets. When that happens they will be forced to either face foreclosure or in some cases make a short sell on their home as refinancing is becoming less and less of an option for many homeowners.
According to most statistics, the remainder of 2008 is still poised for problems in the housing market. Many statistics indicate that home values could continue to drop and new homes could experience a loss of up to 18% before the year is out. While there are some indications that the market could begin to level off at the end of 2008 or the beginning of 2009, many experts are quick to warn that when the market does begin to rebound it will not reach the point where it left off. In comparison to the housing peak of 2005, the rebounded market could still be quite a bit lower. Part of the reason for this is that in many areas, prices escalated so quickly that there is simply no way for prices to rebound back to that point.
There are a few bright spots for select areas. In many markets most of the problem sub-prime mortgages have been eliminated through foreclosures or quick sales, leaving only solid mortgage owners and a more reliable market. Also, the stimulus package is anticipated to help the housing market.
First-time home buyers may soon find the relief they have been seeking since they were forced out of the market, however, it may longer before homeowners begin to experience that same kind of recovery. This is because most homeowners are still reluctant to sell and lose the equity they once had in their homes. The simple fact is that many homeowners have yet to accept the fact that they can no longer get the same prices for that was possible just a few short years ago.
Interest Rates Housing Market
Two pieces of news appear to dominate the news of late and the debating of these gets more strenuous by the day. The facts are that we find ourselves in the eye of the storm that is the credit crunch, and the average house price has soared to an unprecedented level.
What we need to know is, are these two occurrences linked, and if so, how?
We'll take a look at the over inflated housing market first. Houses are a commodity just like anything else, and are therefore governed by the rules of supply and demand. If the quantity of houses available is less than the number of purchasers wanting to buy, the price is inevitably going to rise. Likewise if supply exceeds that required, the price of property will fall. Therein lies the basis of the capitalist economy in which we live.
So how can we translate this to the housing market? It is, in a nutshell, to do with the way mortgages have been arranged for the last ten years, in particular the wide use of self certification. This effectively allows you to declare how much you earn without verification. You can see how it could be easy to stretch the truth somewhat.
House prices have usually been based around the individuals ability to borrow an amount of money, which in turn was reflective of the amount of their earnings. Now it is fair to say that if in a certain area the average mortgage that can be attained is 100,000 then the average house price will not exceed that, since the money for purchase would not be available unless there were savings available to add to the amount borrowed by the individual.
Self-certification has put paid to this because, depending on the applicant, the income declaration may be somewhat greater their actual income. The knock on effect of this is inflated house prices. Because of the ability to borrow more, competition for property has meant that people can be more flexible with regard to the amount they are willing to pay.
And so on to the credit crunch. Well basically, this aggressive buying behavior has made it difficult for lenders to lend high loan values and has also meant that proof of income is compulsory. However, because of the sharp increase in prices, the average house price has been set very high with purchasers having no way to find the money to pay them.
The result of this situation is a total grind to a halt of the housing market as liquidity is just not there.
To add insult to injury, we have at heart become a nation of borrowers and not savers. Our only financial salvation may lie in reversing that trend by going back to saving up significant caches of money and complementing that with more achievable mortgage requests. We must learn to live within our means again.
It may sound to you that, owing to the fact that I am a financial and mortgage advisor, I may be shooting myself in the foot, as it were, by saying all this. But the truth of it is that everyone, myself included, would benefit from a more stable property market with attainable mortgages and I see this as the only way that it may be achieved.
Both Steven Lohrenz & Chris Clare are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Steven Lohrenz has sinced written about articles on various topics from Internet Marketing, Mortgage and Work Life Balance. Help to stopping the foreclosure of your home. Get the information you need before it becomes a really serious problem tomorrow. . Steven Lohrenz's top article generates over 18100 views. to your Favourites.
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