There are three major scientific theories and they are:



Elliot wave, Gann and Fibonacci

These three theories claim that markets can be predicted with scientific accuracy as human psychology is constant and always will be, therefore once you know this recurring phenomenon it’s easy to spot profitable patterns in advance.

The problem is none of them work – sure, human nature is constant and repeats but this cannot be reduced to science.

You need to know the time frames.

It’s a bit like saying another earth quake will come in California sure it well but when?

Scinetific theories like Gann Elliot and Fibonacci despite the hype dont work - Elliot made no money and Gann ended up selling courses for a living and as for Fiboonacci this has nothing to do with finace at all and was devised to solve a problem to do with the copulation of rabbits in the 12th century. If leonardo Fibonacci were around today, he would be bemused how his theory has been hikjacked.

These theories appeal to lazy or the far out investment crowd, who think trading is a walk in the park and with the rewards at stake its not that simple. Of course it is possible to make money but you need to see forex trading for what it is - a game of odds.

Markets are all about timing and it’s obvious no scientific theory could work as if it did we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market!

A price moves because of uncertainty pure and simple

So if human nature is constant what can you do?

The answer is to see the markets not as a game of certainties - but as an odds game.

If you learn to play the odds you can and will make a lot of money sure, you will lose some trades but that’s just the way it is – a football player doesn’t score every time he kicks at goal but he hits the target enough to make a living.

If you want a theory to help you

Study Dow Theory – it is simply one of the best theories you can study in relation to market movement. Then use your forex charts to spot the patterns and time your trading signals

If there is one group that make excellent traders its - ex blackjack and poker players.

Why? Because they know they have to fold ( take losses ) and when they have a good hand play it for all its worth ( i.e up the bet size ) to make a living and they do this non emotionally and with discipline – and that’s what you need to do to.

Learn down theory, learn the traits of blackjack and poker and you have a great combination which will beat any scientific theory hands down in the market.

So if you want to trade currencies and you want to win – learn to play the odds and win big.