One axiom of technical analysis suggests that while prices may fall of their
own weight, only volume can drive prices higher over time. The spring
advance of CACI International, an information systems and high technology
"solutions" company out of Virginia, is one of the best examples of this
phenomenon I've seen in this spring rally.
CACI was moving in a tight consolidation from mid-February into late March
when the first significant high volume day occurred on March 27th. The
uptick in on-balance volume (overlaid on the volume chart) supports the
heavy buying, as does the bullish candlestick. Even though CACI continued to
trade in a very tight range for another three weeks, the heavy volume day on
March 27th was a tip-off that buyers were interested in seeing this stock go
up--moreso than sellers were looking to get out of their positions. From the
beginning of the year until the first big up moves in late April, CACI has
advanced from about 22.5 to 28. While this 24% increase is a more than
reasonable return, the rising on-balance volume strongly suggested that
holders of the stock believed there was more to come.
In most cases, given a market with a neutral or mildly bullish bias, the
only thing that would keep a stock like CACI down (outside of a catastrophic
event) would be the determination of holders to sell, which is not reflected
in the rising on-balance volume, nor in the tightness of the
consolidation--particularly between late February and early April.
As good as the returns from CACI were from January to late April, the
advance from late April to late May was nothing short of spectacular, In
about 30 days, CACI climbed over 53%, largely on the backs of heavy buying
on May 9th and 10th, as well as on the 22nd, 23rd, and 24th. Unlike many
high-volume, high percentage moves, CACI's advance had almost no gaps. In
fact, each advance was supported by a significant support area of at least
two weeks. Nearest support currently is at 36.5 as the stock trades in the
low 40s.
The importance of these small support areas is that the advance is more
likely to be sustainable if there are areas to which CACI can retreat. The
pair of two to three week support areas here can function as places where
selling can occur without overly disrupting any renewed advance. This is in
contrast to what are commonly called "V" advances in which stocks that have
declined rocket upwards without pause, often reaping brief, but fleeting
gains. Advances that come with both heavy volume and short-term support
"platforms" are much more likely to provide reasonable entry points than
those without.
MSTS picked up CACI last week. Already it is showing a nice profit.
Software For Stock Trading
For many traders on the stock market, finding a system or information that helps them make better trading decisions can be a difficult task. With the multitudes of newsletters, internet sites, and newspapers dedicated to the art of trading stocks, people can be overwhelmed by the information available to them. But, there are 7 Rules for Better Stock Trading Results that can help traders get the most out of this information and be a better market player.
First, and perhaps most importantly, listen to where your information is coming from. Finding a reliable source for stock trading is vitally important. Internet sites, magazines and tv news all have programs with people who offer financial advice freely, but it is important to remember that these people might just be offering what amounts to nothing more than educated guesses.
A second tip for trading well on the markets is to ensure that you're using a broker that fits your needs. Many traders should opt for a full service broker if they're unable to keep tabs on their investments as they should, while those who do a lot of background research should focus on a discount broker who provides the ability to trade and not much else. Having the proper broker can mean the difference between a good portfolio and a great one.
Our third tip for better stock trading is to know your numbers. Facts and figures can confuse the best of us and making sense of it all is not easy. However, any time you spend in understanding the important day to day operations of a company you invest in and time spent in understanding the current economic realities will give you a strong advantage over those who don't take the time to do so.
The fourth suggestion we have is for you to become an expert by taking stock trading courses and financial classes to help you familiarize yourself with the details of the market and the facts and figures. Everything you learn gives you a head's up over the competition.
A fifth rule of the 7 Rules for Better Stock Trading Results is to avoid churning your stocks. The term churning means to constantly buy and sell companies based on small market moves with the intention of capitalizing on the small upward moves of a stock's price. In reality, this strategy fails for most traders as the profits that they might normally realize can be eaten away by the commissions of the brokerages, taking your profits often into losses.
That leads us into our sixth tip for better stock trading. Know when to sell. Keeping on top of your stocks and the different companies those stocks represent will give you the knowledge to know when you should sell. Keep in mind that a companies economic fortunes can change and while it is not wise to buy and sell frequently, there is a time when the best answer is to sell.
The seventh and final rule of the 7 golden rules is to keep informed of what the company you invest in is doing. Subscribe to stock trading newsletters related to the industry you invest in, follow financial news, follow what the company you invest in is doing and be prepared in case a company's luck begins to turn. Be in the know and be profitable.
Both Mark Crisp & Jesse Profit are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
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Jesse Profit has sinced written about articles on various topics from Stock, Finances and Stock. To find out how more about and please visit. Jesse Profit's top article generates over 6600 views. to your Favourites.
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