As a new currency trader, one of the questions you might have when you start looking at this market is what am I actually buying or selling?' The short answer to this question is nothing! The retail FX (FX =Forex= foreign exchange=currency) market is a purely speculative one and no physical exchange of currencies ever takes place. All trades exist simply as computer entries and are netted out depending on market prices. The reason the market is in existence is to allow large companies and financial institutions to trade huge amounts of currency easily. These constitute approximately 20% of transactions. The remainder is speculators like you and I simply trading on rate movements! You must also appreciate that the market is unregulated - it regulates itself!
The leverage that is offered in the currency markets is extremely high for the simple reason that if you traded with real money, most traders would not have enough cash to allow sensible trades to be made. The smallest movement is a 'pip' and on an amount of 1000 US dollars, a 1 pip movement would yield 10cents profit (or loss). Now bear in mind that a 100 pip movement in a day is a reasonable size move, so you could stand to make 10$ on the day. This hardly sets the pulses racing!
In order to overcome this problem the currency brokers offer leverage to allow you to trade at meaningful levels. These vary from 1:50 up to a suicidal 1:400 which means that for 1000 USD in your account you could trade 400,000 USD in the market (this is equivalent to $40 per pip movement) so for a 100 pip movement in the wrong direction, you would have lost 4,000 USD. With only 1000 USD in your account you would have received a margin call or been closed out by the broker - not bad for one day's trading!! This is why currency trading is such high risk and only for experienced traders.
One of the unique aspects of the currency market, is that we do not have any volume to assist us in our chart reading, so your candlestick analysis has to be excellent, as you will need to forecast price movement purely from the candles themselves.
Now - a quick lesson in currencies. All major currencies are traded as a pair such as GBP/USD or EUR/GBP. Each currency pair has its own chart and as you would expect there is a spread between the two currencies. This varies from broker to broker, as does the leverage. Another unique aspect of currency trading is there is no commission! Suppose you think the GBP/USD pair is moving up in price (the dollar is weakening against the pound), then you might decide to go long the UK pound. In buying the pound you are automatically selling the dollar. Every pair has a 'pip' quoted price - this is normally 2, 3 or four decimal places depending on the currency. For each pip movement you would gain or lose 1USD. If you wanted to sell(or short ) the GBP/USD you would sell one contract instead. It really is this simple. Naturally there are other aspects to consider such as fundamental data, etc. but in essence that is really it.
Unfortunately, this simplicity belies the risks and dangers involved thanks to the leverage required to make a meaningful trade size. Just as in online poker, it is very easy to open an account and to start. The typical cycle goes something like this - new trader rushes in full of confidence and optimism with small amount of money - opens large position with huge leverage and is wiped out very quickly. Having learnt lesson one, they then return some time later, with a larger fund and trade much smaller size lots ( contract sizes ) until they have built up experience. They may or may not succeed. I did much the same myself, but was lucky. I rushed in and opened six positions all of 10 contract size. I was therefore trading 600,000 USD in a world market running to trillions, with no previous experience and no plan. In a few hours I was 2,500 dollars negative. I sat up all night and watched the positions move ever lower through Asian trading. Quite why I sat up all night I have no idea - I probably thought I could influence the direction by the power of positive thought! To cut a long story short I managed to close out at a profit of a few hundred dollars the following day. I was lucky - you will probably not be so fortunate. If and when you come to this market, please learn from the above. The main reason most people fail at currency trading is from under-funding. Because you can start with a very small amount of money( and trade large quantities) this is what most people do - they quickly lose their money. The only reason I survived was because I had over 10,000 dollars in my account. In my opinion the minimum you should start with is $5,000 dollars and preferably $10,000
All brokers offer a demo account for you to practice your trading skills. However, I do not believe they add any value whatsoever. It is only when you start trading with real money, no matter how small, that you start to learn and develop your trading style.
Started In Currency Trading
When you first start in currency trading, you may be unaware that some currency pairs seem to move in opposite directions. Understanding and using the relationship of pairs to one another is crucial to your long term success in the market. Many traders are simply unaware of these relationships, and wonder why their trading positions remain static or hugely negative when they have several open positions. The reason is simple ? it is called correlation.
Correlation has two aspects as data pairs can either correlated inversely or directly. If two data sets are perfectly correlated in an inverse relationship, then the correlation factor is -1. In other words for a unit of movement up by one data set, then the other data set will move down by one. The closer data sets are to the factor being one ( or minus one) then the closer they are correlated. If two data sets are directly correlated, then as one data set moves by one unit, then the other will move in the same direction by the same amount.
I do not propose to explain the maths of calculating the values, but it is important when trading, to understand these relationships between currencies. I is also important to appreciate that whilst two pairs may relate to one another over a period of a few hours or days, this does not necessarily mean that this will continue for weeks or months. Various factors may affect this relationship where the correlation value falls or becomes meaningless. As a rule of thumb, if this is below 0.85, then the relationship has less meaning.
So how do I use this information in my trading? In currency trading these relationships are important for two reasons. Firstly it allows you to identify pairs which can be used to hedge a trading position, and secondly (which is the converse of this I suppose), you do not want to open directional trades and suddenly find that you have two trades which are hedging one another and therefore not going in any direction at all!! Those currencies which tend to correlate quite well are GBP/USD and EUR/USD which correlate positively, and the USD/CHF which correlates negatively, particularly with the EUR/USD.
If a pair correlates perfectly and is a direct relationship then buying one and selling the other will work as a hedge ( in the same quantities ) For example, suppose we think the EUR/USD is going up, this implies that the USD/CHF is going down. If we bought 5 contracts of the first pair and sold 5 contracts of the second, if they were in perfect inverse correlation, our balance would stay much the same. In order to make money, we could therefore decide to weight our decision, but still use a hedge. By buying 5 contracts of the first pair as before, but only selling 3 of the second, we still have a hedge if it all goes wrong, but we have weighted our decision by 2 contracts on the EUR/USD going up.
Using hedging and correlation is a powerful way to spread and manage the risk in your currency trading.
Anna Coulling has sinced written about articles on various topics from Stock, Investments and Investing and Trading. Anna is a full time currency trader who specialises in helping women to learn how to trade and invest. She has been trading for over 15 years, and everything on her web site is provided free. For further information please click on the following link :. Anna Coulling's top article generates over 5400 views. to your Favourites.
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