1. As at Tuesday’s close at 1366.99 the KLCI was lower by 10.14 points or 0.74%. Losers led gainers 648 to 286.
2. The lower close is a dampener especially after a breakout into new highs last Friday.
3. But as chartists one should expect the unexpected. In other words, if the KLCI should fall further to and violate its lower Bollinger band, one should consider exiting the market at 1348 or lower.
4. But until then, it is possible for the KLCI to stage a rebound.
5. Until the present circumstance, we would be cautious and not buy further.
6. We would wait-and-see and wait for a rebound before adding more positions.
7. Stocks-to-watch for today will, uderstandably be low.
They are: LMCEMT and YTLCMT.
8. We were right about TRANMILE going down to hit the floor. We hope you have exited this stock as based on technical analysis it can make lower lows.
9. We observed that the local stock market moves in tandem with the strength of the ringgit. For the market to rally we would want to see a stronger ringgit. Right now the ringgit is weak.
CONCLUSION: Although it is too early to call a trend reversal, the local market has taken a beating from sellers as funds sell out for fear of further weakness from the U.S. markets. But the technical of the Dow do not seem to suggest that a market plunge is near. Instead we are seeing a Dow rebound. If so, we expect the KLCI to rebound in tandem.
Long-term Upside Targets:1492 (Target amended on 15/6/07).
Immediate downside targets: 1334/1291/1222
Stock Market Days Closed
Technically speaking:
1.As at Tuesday’s close at 1377.48 the KLCI was lower by 4.03 points or 0.29%. Losers led gainers 537 to 358. Trading volume was 1.24 billion shares.
2.The KLCI shrugged off three new highs made by the Dow and closed lower instead.
3.This is really frustrating for many investors of Malaysian stocks who had bought in the last couple of sessions, expecting the rising Dow to
lift Malaysian stocks higher.
4.And here may lay the irony. Immediately after you sell out in frustration, you could well see this market rebound, which could well be today.
5.Technically, the KLCI is still intact. Only problem with Malaysia is, there are no big funds entering our market, unlike Singapore.
6.Hence, volumes remain low, and rallies are truncated and short lived due to no follow through. Under the present circumstance, it is quite impossible to make money based on short-term trades.
7.Still, we expect the local market to wake up soon or late now that our rally is already overdue by three days compared to the Dow.
8.Yesterday, in spite of the flat market, some of our stocks did perform well. They were MUHIBAH, PLENITUDE, UMW-CA, BSTEAD, SALCON and
SAPCRES-WA. Making money is still possible, but one has to pick the right stocks.
12.In Singapore, the lower liner penny stocks are dominating play as retail investors buy them up strongly. Of the 22 stocks that we had
picked for today’s “buy" stocks for the Singapore market, 20 stocks are less than a Singapore dollar!
13.Here they are (Singapore stocks): ABTERRA LTD, ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST, ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST, AZTECH SYSTEMS LTD, CIRCUITS PLUS HOLDINGS LTD, CONTEL CORPORATION LIMITED, DARCO WATER TECHNOLOGIES LTD, EQUATION CORP LIMITED, HEALTH MANAGEMENT INTL LTD, HOR KEW CORPORATION LIMITED, JACKSPEED CORPORATION LIMITED, JOINN HOLDING LTD, NEW WAVE TECHNOLOGIES LTD, NUCLEUS ELECTRONICS LTD, ROTARY ENGINEERING LIMITED, ROWSLEY LTD W081117, SINGAPORE PETROLEUM COMPANY, STARTECH
ELECTRONICS LTD, STARTECH ELECTRONICS W090613, STRATECH SYSTEMS LIMITED, VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS LIMITED, WILMAR DB ECW071015, ZHONGHUI HOLDINGS LTD.
14.For the near term, we expect the KLCI to break out into a new historic high, in tandem with the rising Dow. The KLCI’s close above
its upper Bollinger band is an indication of the potential explosive move on the KLCI this coming week.
15.The KLCI is poised to test 1494, as the Dow makes it way towards 14,400 – Prof Pruden and Fred Tam’s target.
16.The ringgit fell back by 35 pips to 2.4430 from 3.4395.
CONCLUSION: As we are forecasting a higher Dow, its strength should rub-off onto Asian markets, and like it or not, some fallout will benefit the Malaysian market. It is not time stay out of the KLCI yet as the KLCI, at 1359.27, is still above its lower Bollinger band support of 1357 and its lower support of 1347.5. On the other hand, a breakout of the upper band at 1381 or higher would be a good sign of a possible explosive rally.
Long-term Upside Targets:1492 (Target amended on 15/6/07).
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