Guide to Finance

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The Little Book Of Value Investing

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Value Investing refers to a philosophy or practice of buying stocks that are fundamentally sound, but the stock price is below its obvious value. There are various indicators that Value Investors use to determine that a company is both sound and the stock price is undervalued. For the Value Investor, perhaps more than any other style of investor, is more concerned with the business and its fundamentals than other influences on the stock's price.



Fundamentals, such as dividends, earnings growth, cash flow, and book value are more critical than market forces on the stock's price. Value investors are generally buy and hold investors. They will hold a stock for long term periods and are not concerned with short term swings in the stock price.

When the Value Investor determines that the fundamentals are sound, but the stock is trading at a price below its obvious value, he or she knows that this is a potential investment candidate. The assumption is that the market has incorrectly undervalued the stock. Conversely, when the market corrects that mistake, the stock's price should increase towards the obvious value point.

How do Value Investors find a potential investment?

- price to earnings ratio is in the bottom 10 percentile for its sector

- debt to equity ratio is less than 1

- price to book value ratio is less than 1

- PEG value of less than 1

- Stock value is trading at 60-70% of its intrinsic value

The P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio) is calculated by dividing the current price of the stock by the annual earnings per share. The higher the P/E the more earnings growth investors will expect and the higher premium they are willing to pay for that anticipated growth.

Debt to equity is calculated by dividing the total liabilities by the shareholders equity.

Price to Book Value is calculated by taking the current price per share and dividing by the book value per share.

The PEG is calculated by taking the P/E and dividing it by the projected growth in earnings.

The intrinsic value of a stock is a complicated process and is considered an inexact science by most investors. The intrinsic value of a company or an asset is generally determined based on an underlying perception of the value. Brand Name, Goodwill, and barriers to entry in a market are some of the factors that will determine the intrinsic value of a stock. You may be interested in looking at MorningStar.com for helping you determine a stocks intrinsic value. They calculate a number called “fair value” which is similar to intrinsic value.

Many investors have increase their wealth substantially using a value-based approach to investing. This overview of Value Investing suggests a philosophy that works well over time if you buy carefully and use patience to hold for the long term.
The Little Book Of Value Investing
Benjamin Graham, the father of Value Investing, and Warren Buffett's mentor, extended this concept to the stock market by illustrating the following parable. From Intelligent Investor:

Imagine that in some private enterprise you own a small share that cost you $1,000. One of your partners, named Mr. Market, is very indeed very obliging. Every day he tells you what he thinks your share ownership is worth and furthermore offers either to purchase you out or sell you an additional share of ownership on that basis. Sometimes his idea of value appears plausible and justified by business developments and prospects as you know them. Often, on the other hand, Mr. Market lets his euphoria or his pessimism run away with him, and the value he offers seems to you a little short of silly.

If you were a prudent investor or a sensible businessman, you would not let Mr. Market's daily communication determine your view of the value of your share ownership in the business. You may be willing to sell out to him when he quotes you an extremely high price, and equally willing to buy from him when his price is ridiculously low. But at the rest of the time, you would be wiser to form your own ideas of the value of your holdings, based on full reports from the company about its operations and financial position."

Put another way, one must distinguish "quotational loss" versus "permanent loss of capital". The former is movement in the price of a stock due to psychological sentiment, liquidity issues or other factors. The latter is a "permanent damage" to the franchise of the business due to fundamental factors - such as product obsolescence, permanent changes in market demand for a product, losing market share to a better competitor, changes in the habits of customers, upcoming product substitutes.

This all sounds simple. But it begs the question: How does one know if the value of a business is changing? The answer is not to look at the stock price, but to do your own research. For example - try the product, visit the store, read business and trade magazines, or ask friends who are customers of the business. An alternative is to do research on the internet and gather facts and data points about the business.

With the internet, fundamental research on stocks has never been as widely available and convenient as before. You can go directly to the company's SEC Filing, pick up a chart, news headlines, get analyst's estimates and ratings, earnings history, financial statements and many more. You can also do market research on government web sites and other trade association web sites. Finally, if you have the time, you can participate in many active communities and discuss with others about a product, a stock, etc.
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