There are several reasons apparent on the charts indicating that we may have already seen a swing high at 1.8729. The most obvious is the 4-hour chart MACD.
We have mentioned the divergence several times already and now the MACD line has taken a sharp downward angle off the signal line. The daily MACD is also making a sharp turn to the down side and it appears a cross over the signal line to the down side is coming fast.
Also on the 1-hour chart there have been three consecutive candles dropping away and not touching the upper Bollinger band, indicating the up-trend in weakening.
Last night we set our entries at 1.8650. We got stopped out of our trades for a 40 pips loss. (How many other traders tell you about their losing trades?) This is another indicator of a possible reversal. If not a reversal certainly some sideways trading, and we will adjust our trading accordingly.
Tonight we are trading around 1.8560. We will be looking to go short, in an attempt to trade within the range just in case we are sideways.
Remember, in order to analyze and trade the markets on your own, you must get a top notch forex trading education. Whether it be an at home forex trading course or a live forex seminar, take the time to get educated.
I truly hope that all of you have been following our outlooks on the Forex market. Last week, alone, we netted over 500 pips in profit.
Now, granted, that is a GREAT week of trading, but they do come often enough. But, how are you supposed to know when they are coming?
You aren't. What you are supposed to do, is be ready for anything and everything the forex markets throw at you.
The only way to do that is by getting a quality Forex trading education.
Sorry about that, I got a little sidetracked. Let's get to the outlook for the Pound/Dollar.
Alright, one more tangent. We only discuss our opinions for the Pound in these outlooks. But, you can use the skills you learn to trade any currency pair.
Now, really, let's get to the trading.
Cable continues its climb, and there is no end in sight, which means we should watch for a reversal...ha ha. The most enlightening fact I ever learned about the forex market is that it is completely random.
We can predict, usually with great accuracy support and resistance levels using retracements levels and pivot points just to name a few, but the market can and will change direction when you least expect it to.
So our word to all our traders is caution. Be diligent in assessing your risk when you make your trades. With that said we expect the rise to continue towards the 1.9549 previous high
.
For Friday we set our entries at 1.8500. We had profit targets of 1.8540 and 1.8590, we were able to close our first trade for 40 pips and our second trade was closed for a 90 pip profit.
Tonight we are trading around 1.8610. We will be looking to go long again, and we will continue cautiously watching for an unexpected reversal.
Remember, in order to analyze and trade the markets on your own, you must get a top notch forex trading education. Whether it be an at home forex trading course or a live forex seminar, take the time to get educated.
We find these support and resistance levels using a set of technical indicators and other variables that we have found to be most successful for us. We use several other indicators and a variety of technical analysis techniques to enter and exit all of our trades. Every trader will have a different combination of indicators that makes the most sense to them. Learn how to develop your own successful Forex Trading style with our Elite Forex Trading Course or Forex Seminar.
Twilight In Black And White
However, don't beat yourself up if you didn't get in. Remember, taking no trade is better than jumping into a bad trade for bad reasons. Anyhow let's move on to the trading outlook for tonight.
Let's start by determining whether we want to look for a long or short...or both.
Tonight's chart presents a few problems in our effort to find a trade. Let's look at a few of them.
First of all, we are in "no man's land" from the stand point of looking for a short. There aren't many indicators in this price zone, at least not indicators we look at.
There is, however, some short term reasons to look for a short based on the MACD of the 4 hour chart. But, that's not much to base your trading on.
Then again, in the spirit of fairness and in our effort to teach you as much as possible in these newsletters, there is a "make-shift" resistance level at around 1.8880. You'll need a bunch of additional reasons to go short there, so look for quality price action (e.g.: Candlestick formation) to help gauge whether or not you should look to enter a trade around there.
In case that doesn't give you enough to look for around that price, here's more. I wouldn't be too surprised to see Cable break above 1.8880 and then run all the way back up to near 1.9000 since there isn't much resistance in those 120 pips above the level (1.8880).
How in the world are you supposed to use this information to trade? Well, here is just a simple idea. IF you are trading Cable when price reaches this area, pay close attention to the price activity. Look for patterns like double tops or candlestick formations to help you determine if the level is holding as resistance.
If, on the other hand, Cable breaks through relatively easily, maybe it's best to wait for a pullback in conjunction with price activity and look for a long.
This is a more advanced trading setup since both a long and a short trade COULD be in order at this price level. If you are unsure what to do, DO NOTHING! You should only trade at your comfort level.
As far as a support level goes. We're going to keep watching the mid 1.8700's again. Let's just remember that we have seen few legs of a downtrend over the past few days on an hourly chart.
If that pattern continues we could see a lower low than the one that was just formed. For those of you who wan to play it very conservatively, you might now want to look to go long.
Remember, decide what makes the most sense to you. It makes no sense to mimic others trading styles, since their risk tolerance and necessity for profit can vary greatly from yours.
I am sure that you can clearly see how valuable it would be to develop your own independent trading style. Take the steps to get yourself on the right track.
Buy Everquest 2 Plat When downloading anything I strongly suggest a good virus scanner or trojan scanner. Play safe and enjoy EverQuest while the game lasts