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Types Of Business Risks

    View: 
ICEBERG #1 - EMPLOYEE OVERLOAD



Think you're working too hard? Odds are you're right. Organizations are lean, and expectations are higher than ever. The 50-hour plus week has become the norm.

With few exceptions, we are responsible for our own correspondence, calendars, and coordination. Our email boxes are stuffed, lunch is a sandwich gobbled while hunched over the keyboard.

The result? Too many of us spend the great bulk of our time reacting. We're so busy putting out fires that we can't even think about issues that aren't screaming.

This is workable in the short run, but the matters we aren't getting to today are often the major expenses (or lost opportunities) of tomorrow. The bottom line: neglecting issues that are important but not urgent can destroy an organization over time.

Avoiding this iceberg requires building a healthy corporate culture able to achieve a balance between the short and long term. This means changing how people see themselves, their co-workers, and their organization -- and changing how they behave.

First, recognize that no one can be effective 24/7 and encourage everyone to regularly power off.

Second, discourage face time. Reward productivity and accomplishment, rather than the sheer number of hours spent on the job.

Third, throw a life raft to people who are drowning. Help them identify tasks that are unnecessary or can be offloaded to others.

Fourth, limit the number and length of meetings, involve only people who truly need to attend, and use a written agenda to maintain focus.

Fifth, establish a mechanism for identifying and ranking longer-term issues. Then free up or acquire appropriate resources to focus on the top priorities.

The steps are simple. The challenge (and path to success) lies in the consistency of their implementation.

ICEBERG #2 - POOR CONTRACT MANAGEMENT

Everyone recognizes the value of a good deal, and negotiating contracts is important. But once a contract is signed, it often disappears into a file drawer.

Doing the deal may be more exciting than managing the agreement. But inadequate contract administration can have nasty consequences that you won't even see coming.

What's involved in contract management? That depends on the type of agreement and the industry, but here's a taste:

- enforcing price caps

- preventing unwanted auto-renewals

- providing required notice of cancellation

- avoiding multiple contracts for duplicate or overlapping services

- ensuring that payments aren't made on expired contracts

- renewing trademark registrations

- reviewing agreements in a timely manner

- reducing the risk of litigation by tracking compliance with contract provisions

Finding and implementing a contract management solution became a top priority for one technology company when it discovered that it had just signed an excellent multi-year agreement for telecommunications services. Unfortunately, their existing contract for the same services still had more than a year to run. The overlap cost them more than $100,000.

Litigation due to non-performance or lack of enforcement of contract provisions can, of course, cost many times more.

Fortunately, the fix for this problem is relatively easy. Technology comes to the rescue in the form of readily available software designed specifically to manage contracts.

Once you've shone some light on the issue, the next steps are to identify, acquire, and implement the right contract management solution.

You may even find that reducing this risk has an unexpected upside. One small city recovered $70,000 in overpayments for expired contracts in the first six months after implementing contract management software and an additional $200,000 in the next fiscal year.

ICEBERG #3 - PROJECT CREEP

It's a non-intuitive truth that creativity thrives within limitations. And limiting the reach and life span of a group tasked with solving a specific problem is essential. Lack of restrictions too often leads to an overgrowth of scope that results in a bloated project that drags on indefinitely.

Fortunately, avoiding deadly project creep is far from rocket science.

First, take a common sense approach to getting things done. Insist on defining projects up front, establishing succinct written goals.

Second, remember that when it comes to the size of committees, more is often less. Keep the project team as small as practical, and select a leader who is able to maintain focus and push the process along.

Third, delegate both responsibility and the necessary authority.

Fourth, require that the team create a set of milestones tied to a firm timetable.

Fifth, ensure that the reporting relationship is clear, and establish a pattern of consistent follow-up and feedback.

Finally, encourage a corporate culture that drives open issues to closure rather than conducting endless explorations. Reward completion.

ICEBERG #4 - HOLDING OUT FOR THE BIG FIX

You've identified a significant risk. The next step is to address it as expeditiously as possible. But you're being lured by the siren song of the big fix.

The temptation to seek a larger solution that simultaneously addresses myriad issues can be almost irresistible.

The logic may seem unassailable. Who wouldn't want a systemic solution with broad, long-term benefits? But holding out for the big fix has two major downsides: time and money.

Fact-finding, planning, sourcing, and implementing a global, integrated solution can take years and consume major resources. The problem you initially set out to solve will fester in the meantime.

What to do? Don't disdain the interim solution. Spending relatively small dollars now allows you to maintain your focus on the problem that started all this in the first place -- the risk you need to deal with ASAP.

An affordable interim solution that can be quickly implemented will buy you much needed time. You can use this to fully explore the big fix before you commit major dollars and substantial resources.

This prevents you from having to choose between an easily implemented solution of limited scope and the desirable, more powerful integrated system.

It may seem counter-intuitive to move in multiple directions at the same time, but the wisdom of following parallel paths is time-proven. This strategy allows you to reach your initial goal quickly while giving you a better shot at ultimately making the ideal solution a reality.
Types Of Business Risks
The basic concept of business value is that the future benefits (return) of owning a company must be adjusted (discounted) for the risks associated with owning the company. The sales or earnings of a company are typically used to represent the benefits (return). Multiples and rates are used to represent the risks. The sales and earnings figures are already recorded as numbers, but how can risk be quantified? Multiples and rates are the results of various methods to quantify these risks.

Specific Risk Factors

One way to accomplish this is to evaluate a number of specific factors affecting your company and ranking their level of risk. The factors considered should cover all aspects of the business like management, operations, financial, workforce, sales and marketing, legal, environmental, regulation, and competition. A simple scale from 1 to 3 can be used to assess the risk level - 1 = very high risk, 1.5 = high (above average) risk, 2.0 = normal (average) risk, 2.5 = low (below average) risk, and 3.0 = very low risk. The average score is multiplied by the cash flow or earnings of the company.

Payback Period

Another way to calculate a multiple is to consider how quickly you would want an investment in a company to be recovered through its earnings. A riskier company would require a shorter payback period. Small companies are often expected to have a payback period between 1 and 3 years. The average score from the specific risks method (from the previous section) can also be used as the payback period. The payback period is multiplied by the cash flow or earnings of the company.

Expected Return on Investment

Another way to look at risk is to determine what rate of return would be required to make the risk level of the investment acceptable. For example, a bank certificate of deposit is very safe and has a low rate of return (interest rate). An investment in a small company is typically expected to have a rate of return greater than one in a publicly traded company (up to 15%), but less than a venture capital investment (more than 40%). I have found that most small companies are valued using a narrower range between 25% and 35%. You can use the specific risk factors method (described above) to determine the rate of return - 1.0 = 35%, 1.5 = 32.5%, 2.0 = 30%, 2.5 = 27.5%, and 3 = 25%. These rates of return are referred to as capitalization (cap) rates.

The earnings of a company (for one period, or the average earnings for a number of periods) are divided by the capitalization rate to calculate its value. If the rate is to be applied to a company's earnings for multiple periods as a series (not average or median) then a growth rate must be added to convert it to a discount rate. Using discount rates is an advanced valuation technique that is not covered here.

Industry Formulas (Rules of Thumb)

Some industries have formulas that are widely used to determine business value, often called rules of thumb. Rules of thumb are expressed as a range of multiples that quantify risk within that industry. Selecting a multiple within the range to accurately match the risk level of your company is critical to getting a good result from industry formulas. One method is to use the average score from the specific risks method, described above. A score of 1.0 would correspond to the lowest multiple in the range, 3.0 to the highest.

One of the most extensive listings of these formulas is published in an annual Business Reference Guide from Business Brokerage Press. You may also be able to get formulas for your industry from a trade group or association, or your CPA.

Conclusion

Quantifying the risks associated with owning a company is a difficult and theoretical process, so it is often ignored or arbitrary. The methods described in this article provide relatively easy and logical ways to calculate the multiples and rates needed to complete the basic business valuation formula of value = returns/risks.
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About Author
Both Judy Tucker & David Coffman are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Judy Tucker has sinced written about articles on various topics from Management Software Solutions. Judy Tucker works with emerging companies in planning, project management, and communications and helps them get the most out of contract management systems. Find out more about how contract management software can save time and money at. Judy Tucker's top article generates over 4400 views. to your Favourites.

David Coffman has sinced written about articles on various topics from Home Based Business, Accounting Guide and Cars. David Coffman recently published the David is a Certified Public Accountant who is Accredited in Business Valuation (ABV),. David Coffman's top article generates over 33100 views. to your Favourites.
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