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Interest Rates And Economy
Marc Mascrenhas
At present, financial analysts and economists can review how the Canadian economy performed in the first two quarters of the year 2009 along with, make forecast for the remaining two quarters. In fact, there is no genuine consent, on economic issues there never is, on the other hand, the common viewpoint is that we are at the end of the tunnel (recession) and are about to see the light of the day (economic stability and growth). Nearly all economists foresee a small contraction in the economy during the present quarter (from July to September); however they still expect that we are close to the end of the slump.
All economic indicators are pointing towards the growth in the economy, although not a full fledged one but at least the contraction in the economy has stopped to a certain extent. It is predicted by various press quotes and noted economists that the Canadian economy will grow by around 0.7-0.9%, effectively putting an end to the economic downturn. These figures can rise, however still be considerably below what we had seen 4-6 years before, this is indicative of an economy that is on course although still under pressure.
Whether you want to consider the positive estimates or those that are a bit more realistic, there are a few encouraging signs up-and-coming, as a lot of economists inform us, the economy will see increased growth due to increased demand for Canadian auto components and ancillary because of demand picking up in U.S.A and European market as well as the world market on the whole. This will have a buoyant effect on the overall Canadian economy. In addition, Canadian job losses have slowed down a great deal. The share market too is on the road to recovery from losses in 2008. Housing and real estate sector is as well reporting improved sales. Greater than before housing sales in the U.S.A might as well help Canada's timber business and will add to the overall growth of the Canadian economy.
A number of mortgage specialists and economists have forecasted that the base for fixed mortgage rates has already been breached. Bond markets are at present acting in response to a likely resurgence by rising interest costs. In view of the fact that the costs of borrowing on the bond market rise for banks and lenders, the cost of borrowing for homeowners will shoot up as well. At the same time as the economy gets better and people begin spending all over again; there is a genuine threat of inflation due to which interest cost rises substantially.
To lift up the economy huge sums of money has been pumped in by the U.S and Canadian governments as a part of the stimulus package leading to increase in risk of inflation. Due to which, there will be pressure on Canadian central bank to raise interest rates to prevent economy from overheating. On the other hand, higher interest rates could mean difficulty for variable-rate mortgages, which will rise as the Prime Lending Rates increase. Therefore, would-be homeowners who are on a look out for a mortgage loan would be sensible to seek advice from an expert to decide on the most excellent plan for their home loan in these difficult times.
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