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Video on How Can Frozen Fire And Look Here Be Favourites?

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How Can Frozen Fire And Look Here Be Favourites?
Django Arthurs
Frozen Fire is currently 2/1 with most bookmakers which is quite shocking for a horse that has been so lightly raced. The Irish Derby victory may have been convincing, but it's only one race, and the Irish Derby throws up some different winners from other races.
Look Here is a very talented young filly - but what do we have to go on? An Oaks victory at 33/1 when the bookies thought beforehand that she wasn't worth considering, and a summer in the stable eating hay. That's not enough to go on, and not enough to merit 4/1. Something has gone wrong in the market. There's so little form to go on, you may as well go for another filly with two races in the bag - Unsung Heroine.
So let's look for something to go by - and the two horses that do have form for us to analyse are Conduit and Doctor Fremantle. Conduit is an attractive 6/1, while Doctor Fremantle can be found at twice those odds - and it's hard to split the two. However, Doctor Fremantle's form on the softer ground, along with an excellent run of form prior to two recent fourth-placed finishes makes those odds seem excellent value.
If either of those two horses win, Sir Michael Stoute will pick up his first St. Leger - and how long has he been waiting for one? I'm not punting large on this one - there's hardly anything to go by, so I'm going to stick with a horse that has proven itself over the long, wet summer rather than either of two horses that have stayed put in the stable eating hay. Doctor Fremantle it is, then - perhaps an each-way bet for me.
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