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A Very Short Introduction
Adrian Pablo
Fibonacci forex trading is the basis of many successful forex trading systems that are used by a great number of professional forex traders around the world. Trading systems based on this -numbers sequence- are so successful that billions of dollars are earned every year by traders following its rules.
Fibonacci was an Italian mathematician and he is best remembered by his world famous Fibonacci sequence, the definition of this sequence is that it's formed by a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers; 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 ...But in the case of currency trading what is more important for the forex trader is the Fibonacci ratios derived from this sequence of numbers, i.e. .236, .50, .382, .618, etc.
Forex traders can greatly benefit from this mathematical proportions due to the fact that the oscillations observed in forex charts, where prices are visibly changing in an oscillatory pattern, are known to follow Fibonacci ratios very closely as indicators of resistance and support levels; maybe not to the last cent, but so close as to be really amazing.
Additionaly, one important thing to remember is that Fibonacci analysis is a leading indicator. What this means is that by learning the correct Fibonacci trading tactics and techniques you will know how to determine the most probable turning points in the market before the price gets there. Yes, you can know what the forex market will do in advance!
For example, one of the widely used Fibonacci ratios is the 0.382 ratio. As it can be easily seen on any forex chart, the currency prices are continually changing and they follow an oscillatory pattern with peaks and valleys. The limit of the peak is usually called a resistance level while the valley is usually called a support.
In order to find the 0.382 ratio level what you do is, first; measure the size of the drop or rise over your time of interest. Once you have that value you multiply this by 0.382. Now depending on what you are looking at, a rise or a drop on the price of the particular -currency pair- you are trading, you will add the last value you calculated to the total drop or subtract the value from the total rise.
Once you have the value you can then start planning the strategy you will follow in order to make a high probability profit from this valuable information. For the 0.382 ratio level calculated for a recent rise in the -currency pair- exchange price, your calculated level will be a highly probable support and for the case of a level calculated for a recent drop of the prices your level will be a highly probable resistance.
Many people tries to make this analysis overly complicated scaring away many new forex traders that are just beginning to understand how the forex market works and how to make a profit in it. But this is not how it has to be. I can't say it's a simple concept but it is quite understandable for any trader once he or she has grasped the basics and has had some practice trading using Fibonacci levels along with other secondary indicators that will help you to improve the accuracy of the entry and exit point for every particular trade.
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