Tide- Wave - Ripple Theory - 3 Major Movements of the Ocean ( Stock Market )
The primary movement is the Tide, the secondary movement is the Wave and tertiary movement, the Ripple. The three movements of the Stock Market can be compared to the three movements of the Ocean.
The Impulse Phase is based on the Primary Trend. If it is a long upward movement, then the Impulse Phase is an Uptide and if the primary movement is downward, then it is a Downtide.
The Corrective Phase is the Anti movement of the Primary Trend.
Impulse Phase = Primary Trend.
Corrective Phase = Anti movement of the Primary Trend ( The Dow Jones Theory states that this phase will last 3 to 4 weeks but we find that in India it normally lasts for 7/8 days ).
This Corrective Phase normally occurs as a secondary reaction during an Uptide and as a secondary rally during a Downtide.
F & O ( Futures & Options )
Option ( Call or Put ) should be taken at the end of the Corrective Phase ( Secondary Reaction or Secondary Rally ) and should be exercised during the Impulse Phase to make profit.
An option is a contract, which gives the buyer ( the holder ) the right. but not the obligation, to buy or sell specified quantity of the underlying assets, at a specific strike price on or before a specified time ( expiration date ).
In a Bear Market, Corrective Phase is Bullish and vice verse.
In a Bear Market, Impulse Phase is bearish.
Uptide - The Primary Upward Movement
Downtide - The Primary Downward Movement
While turnover in the Cash segment is 30000 crores per day, at Derivatives segment it is 18000 crores.
During Downtide, the best Option is Put. You must watch the Resistance and the Support levels of the scrip you are going to take the Option in.
The Wave like Nature of the Stock Market
The Stock market is like a Wave. It is ever fluctuating. Even in a day it fluctuates.
We have to understand that the primary trend now is Bullish, viz an Uptide. During these rallies, the intelligent sell off their stocks. In a Bull Phase, secondary reactions last for 7 to 8 days. These reactions are also very deceptive, giving the impression that the market is falling. During these reactions, the intelligent accumulate stocks and sell off at the peak of the primary trend.
In order to capitalise on market fluctuations, you have to do your homework properly. Study the scrip you want to play. Study its top and bottom levels. You can only short sell at the Resistance level and never at the Support level.
Summing up, we have to play the according to the market and play it correctly using the Impulse Phase and avoiding the Corrective Phase. People generally lose during the Corrective Phase. The stock market is cyclical and the Impulse Phase is always replaced by a Corrective Phase and vice verse. He who knows the cyclical nature of the stock market alone can succeed ! Timing is everything and one can use the end of both the phases for profit.
Finance And Stock Market
Don't Invest Like a Fund Manager
Fund managers have clients to serve. There are high expectations for them to perform every single year as well. Else, their customers will change to other fund in other companies. Because of that, they can't afford not to invest the available cash in stock market even although there is no stock worth investing. Otherwise, they will be blamed as unable to utilise clients' money if the fund is not performing as expected.
As an individual investor, you should not invest in stock just because you have enough cash in hand. Instead, you should invest in stock only if you had identified profitable stocks.
Stock Trading is Just a Probability Game
The truth is, you won't gain profits in all of your trades. Sometime you win, in other time you lose. If this ever happens to you, don't be disappointed as yet because nobody in the world had won 100% of their trades. Instead, make sure the gains will overweigh the losses. Which in the end of the day, you are still making money despite losing in some trades.
If you plan to trade stock, always think about the probability of the stock price to move in the direction you want it to be. Trade the stock only if the probability to make money is higher than losing them and be ready to cut losses should the share price move in reverse direction.
Minimize Risks Than Maximise Profits
Preserve capital is the first thing you should be thinking. And, it is not necessarily you have to take greater risk to get better return. In fact, the most successful stock investors and traders are risk averse. But they manage to reduce the risk of losing money by knowing exactly what they do and do exactly what they know. Unlike novice investors, they are only thinking to make as much money as possible even though they know nothing on what they plan to do.
So, next time you want to invest in stock market, make sure you know inside out of the topic and aware what are the risk and return potential for every single stock. Otherwise, you are putting yourself at the unknown risks.
Both G Kumar & Zainul Anuar are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
G Kumar has sinced written about articles on various topics from Astrology Predictions, Blog Traffic and Astrology Predictions. Article by G Kumar, astrologer, writer and programmer of . He has 15 years research experience in Stock MarketAstrology a. G Kumar's top article generates over 6600 views. to your Favourites.
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