Let's say that you noticed that the real estate market in a particular area was really booming, so you wanted to work with a bank to acquire as many properties as possible in this area. The bank told you that instead of paying for all the homes yourself, you would only need to pay 1% and the bank would pay the other 99%. Not bad, eh?
This is an example of leveraging money, and your forex broker will allow to do the same thing while you are making trades. The most common leverage level is 100:1 or 1%, meaning that with $1,000 you could potentially trade up to $100,000.
But all of this money is of no use if you do not know how to place profitable trades, so today we will cover the basics of a popular form of picking trade opportunities called 'technical analysis,' as well as cover a few of the most widely used technical indicators.
In technical analysis, we are only concerned with the numbers. We are concerned with only the 'what' of the exchange rate prices and not the 'why.' We do not care about why the currency rate is at a new high or low, but only about the steps that the price fluctuations took to get there.
A good forex technical analyst can look at a chart of price history and see potential trading opportunities, as well as completely separate any emotions such as fear or greed from said trading opportunities. This ability of looking at your money without emotion can be very difficult to learn, but it is really the key to successful technical analysis and making profitable trades.
The three technical indicators we will cover today are Moving Averages overlaid onto price data, the Relative Strength Index, and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence.
First, let's talk about how these indicators will actually look when they are set up on the chart. The moving average itself will be on top of the candlesticks or bars that give the price data, and the MACD and RSI will be below the price data on a small separate graph.
The RSI will give you a good idea of the strength of a certain trend, as well as the current overall volatility of the market. This indicator will show you the 'relative strength' (duh!) of the market at the present moment. In setting your RSI indicator on your chart, two of the most popular periods are 14 and 21.
What this whole 'time period' business means is that the indicator will track back a certain number of bars or candlesticks from the present one (14 or 21 in this case), and the indicator will be based on that data. When the RSI is at a high value (usually above 70), this can indicate high volatility, and a good time to trade is when the RSI is climbing.
Next, we will talk about moving averages, and there are two different types: one that is one top of price data, and one that is separate from price data.
Both indicators, simply called a moving average (on data) or a MACD (off data), really try to tell you the same basic thing, and that is whether or not the current price action is significantly different from recent price action.
If the way the prices have been moving within the last hour is much faster than how they have been moving earlier that day (if you had maybe 30-minute bars or candlesticks), this is definitely a potential trading opportunity.
To identify forex trading opportunities with a regular moving average (you may want to try a period of 10-20 with this), you will see the price data cross over the moving average line and keep going in that same direction. This shows you that this move is different from the way the market has recently been moving, and can be a good chance to make some money.
The MACD uses the same basic concept, but you have a short-period and a long-period moving average instead of a moving average overlaid on price data. The CD in MACD stands for convergence/divergence, and this indicator will show you short-term price action compared with long-term price action.
The periods of each moving average on the MACD are generally 12 and 26, and the same basic concept applies: if short-term action is significantly different from long term action (divergence in the two averages), this can be a profitable trading opportunity.
Free Technical Analysis Software
Of all the different kinds of forex technical studies that there are available there are three that seem to top the bill when it comes to being on more forex trading charts in the world than any others. Those three technical studies are the Moving Average Divergence Convergence indicator, aka "MACD"; the Bollinger Bands; the Relative Strength Index or RSI for short. These were equity trading tool but have successfully been brought over from equity trading charts on to forex charts with similar effect. If used on intraday timeframes, these indicators can lag price action so traders beware on that count.
Using these indicators on a daily chart or a weekly chart can assist traders in gauging validity of a signal given them on an intraday forex trading chart. Simplicity is best and that is what these indicators give. However, in days of instant gratification that we live in, a lot of traders do not want simplicity, but an instant holy grail that pays out dividends with no work. Not going to happen to the average Joe and will make the traders life very difficult.
Out of three indicators aforementioned, one of them is better for a channelling market and the others have been shown to work best when the market is in a trend. We'll explore what makes each one work, how they work and why they work by exploring these questions in this series of 5 articles. We'll also look at the optimum economic conditions under which these indicators work.
Let's first of all look at the MACD or Moving Average Divergence Convergence indicator, originally put together by one Gerald Appel. It is known to be a reliable source of information for the forex trader when applied to the charts as well as being a simpler indicator to use and interpret. Recognising both trend and momentum of the price flow current, the MACD oscillator is a useful tool to the forex trader.
MACD consists of two lines - one is called the signal line and the other is the MACD line. These two are plotted together in an oscillator and a horizontal line centrally known as the zero line. The meaning of the zero line is that when the oscillator is above the zero line, the forex trader can ascertain that the exponential moving average for 12 periods is above the moving average for 26 periods. If below the zero line, the oscillator is saying that the 12 period EMA is now below the 26 period EMA.
Commonly, the MACD is interpreted by viewing the interaction of the MACD and the signal line. Simply, if the MACD line crosses above the signal line, a bullish signal is interpreted. Conversely, if the MACD line falls below the signal line, this is a bearish MACD signal. In addition, the power of a trend can be gauged by the relationship of the MACD line and the MACD signal line. As follows:
The wider the gap between the two lines (signal and MACD), the more strength the trend has. If the two lines are closer together, the trend is considered weaker. The degree of this separateness may be reflected on the indicator window by use of a histogram which will be above or below the zero line as stated earlier.
Lastly, a MACD can be used to look for divergence. This is found when a currency pair makes a new low, but the MACD fails to make a new low, further informing the trader that the trade is running out of steam - momentum is lower. This can be seen clearly by looking at a recent high/low in the price and then the latest high/low and seeing whether the MACD confirms strength in the trend by following suit, or does the opposite and makes a higher low/lower high in opposition to the price action.
Both Marcus Masters & Sam Beatson are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Marcus Masters has sinced written about articles on various topics from Forex Trading Forex, Yoga Practice and Forex Trading Forex. Of all the ways to make money using an internet connection, is definitely one of the most lucrative. However, the majority of forex traders out. Marcus Masters's top article generates over 18100 views. to your Favourites.
Sam Beatson has sinced written about articles on various topics from Forex Online, Brain and Trading Strategy. This article is continued as part 2 at http://www.privatefxclub.com. - http://www.privatefxclub.com - provides live news and. Sam Beatson's top article generates over 14800 views. to your Favourites.
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