According to the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply/NTC purchasing managers' index (PMI), manufacturing output grew to 55.7 over the course of July, up by one point from the previous month's figures and the highest level recorded since July 2004. With new orders within the industry rising at their fastest pace for more than a year and employment increasing for the seventh consecutive month, factory gate inflation is currently said to be at its highest since the PMI began in 1992.
Meanwhile, with the cost of raw materials such as oil and plastics said to be driving global growth, the British sector was reported to be outstripping the effect of five increases to the interest rate by the Bank of England's monetary policy committee (MPC) over the last 12 months. As a result, a number of financial analysts claim the Bank could choose to push up rates to at least six per cent within the next few months, in a move that while intended to curb the growing manufacturing industry could also see more consumers struggle further with their day-to-day finances and making repayments on secured loans.
Commenting on the figures, Ian Kernohan, economist for Royal London Asset Management, said: "While the consumer and housing data has showed some signs of weakness, it's not really convincing enough to prevent a further hike in rates. A rise in the latest manufacturing PMI, followed by a strong services PMI later this week, should be enough to sanction a September rate rise and on the stitch-in-time argument will no doubt prompt some votes for a back-to-back rise in August".
Meanwhile, Howard Archer, chief UK and European analyst for Global Insight, claimed that while the announcement of such "substantially stronger" results than expected would be used as a tool by some MPC members to vote for a rise next week, the base rate is likely set to stay at 5.75 per cent for at least another month. "The robust manufacturing purchasing managers' survey is most unlikely to push the Bank of England into raising interest rates on Thursday, but it will certainly fuel expectations that interest rates will rise by a further 25 basis points to six per cent in the autumn", he said. However, Mr Archer claimed that even this was not certain, in part due to the PMI figures and "disappointing inflation data for June". He added that recent statistics pointing to a curb in consumer spending and slowing house prices are "far from conclusive".
With future increases to the base rate predicted to take place either this month or later on in the year, consumers could well be set to find their mortgage costs increasing. Following the July rise, Mike Naylor, personal finance expert for uSwitch, claimed that secured loan repayments have surged by 677 pounds since the start of the year. However, he suggested that "more savvy" homeowners could negate the impact of base rate rises by switching to more competitive offers on current accounts, loans and credit cards.
Increase In Interest Rates
MoneyExpert claims, there has been an increase in the average interest rates offered by the banks, however it insists that far too many are not rewarding their customers for keeping a positive balance in their accounts especially in the current economic situation. It suggests that while average credit interest rates have risen to two per cent - up from 1.6 per cent 12 months ago - there are still some banks offering their customers a rate lesser than 1 per cent with their cheque book accounts.
There has been a decrease in number of sub-one per cent offerings, with more than half (56 per cent) of all current accounts offering this "pittance" in 2007. Figures from the group suggest that currently, 45 per cent of all products offer this level of interest. With the housing market floundering, public spending waning and the cost of living increasing, MoneyExpert invites banks to do more to compensate customers who are managing to keep their current accounts in credit during such tough times.
Sean Gardner, director of MoneyExpert, said: "It's encouraging to see banks getting their houses in order and offering better interest rates for customers with positive balances. But to be quite frank - nearly half of all bank accounts compensate clients who stay in the black with lower than 1 per cent yearly interest. That's an appalling return. Given there are accounts out there offering ten times that amount of interest, customers should not settle for a raw deal."
For those who have been unable to keep their finances in the black as the increased demands of the gloomy financial environment take hold, taking out a debt consolidation loan may prove an effective course of action in preventing outgoings from spiralling further out of control.
Mr Gardner also stated that 3.57 per cent is a healthy average for accounts paying above one per cent. He urged customers to search out a deal that offered at least this level in order to make their money go further.
Research conducted by the group found that only 15 current accounts offered by six UK banks offer credit interest rates above five per cent, with Lloyds TSB noted for raising the level offered on its Plus account from four to six per cent. Meanwhile, at the other end of the scale, the financial advisory firm reported that the majority of high street banks offered a rate of 0.1 per cent on at least one of their current accounts.
It was also noted by Mr Gardner how important customer support and other niceties the banks may offer could be, he also urged people to make sure they were not making their choice based purely on headline rate. He advised Britons to make sure their chosen bank offered the right kind of facilities for their needs.
Consumers who have found themselves experiencing worsening money problems in recent months may wish to take out a consolidation loan in order to stem the tide of an unmanageable level of monthly repayment commitments. Indeed, as a recent study from Lloyds TSB showed, many people have been feeling the strain in the last year. According to its inflation barometer, the bank found that 90 per cent of people felt that the price of goods and services had increased in the past 12 months.
Both Mark Dawson & are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
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