The twenty-first century has given real estate a whole bunch of new household words, from ARM to interest-only mortgage (OK, that's three words, but you get the idea). Increasingly, one of the most-mentioned words in real estate is "flipping." No longer just something Marcia Brady does with her hair, flipping is now a driving force in the real estate market.
What Is Real Estate Flipping?
Flipping, a.k.a. "house flipping," "home flipping," "property flipping," or "real estate flipping," is the rapid buying and selling of a single property. For instance, someone buys a house, building, or apartment, for $500,000, and then sells it six months later for $550,000.
Yes, people are actually doing this--people, as in private individuals of no particular wealth, leveraging their retirement savings or even buying using interest-only mortgages or other easy financing. Large real estate investors have been doing essentially the same thing for a long time, particularly in commercial real estate. But what's gotten the real estate world talking about flipping now is precisely that it is in the residential real estate, and involving private individuals as buyers and sellers. Flipping has transformed the residential real estate market, at least in some regions. What was primarily a series of transactions between current and prospective residents has become a speculative market driven by small investors, much like the stock or bond markets.
As you can see, the phenomenon of flipping real estate is made possible by constantly rising real estate sale prices. Not only that, the phenomenon may very well be feeding into higher property sale prices. Once upon a time, residential real estate demand depended on home buyers looking for a place to live. Flippers add a whole new layer of demand to the mix. A real estate flipper will typically be flipping more than one home at a time, so their impact is magnified even beyond their numbers. In some markets, up to a quarter of all residential real estate sales are estimated to be "flips."
Real Estate Flipping Scares Some Experts
Many observers, including many economists and seasoned real estate professionals, are feeling anxious about flipping. Their biggest concern is that real estate flipping may lead to instability in the market. Why?
* As already noted, flippers are adding a speculative force to the housing market, causing houses to be valued over and above their perceived intrinsic worth. Indeed, in a number of high-flying markets such as Boston, the Bay Area of California, and Miami, rents have not risen anywhere near as fast as prices. Rent is usually considered to be a good indicator of the real value of real estate. To critics of rising real estate prices, stable rents mean that any rise in housing prices must be due to speculation--not necessarily just flipping, but also people who imagine their homes will increase in value.
* Large numbers of flippers are amateur investors. Like amateur investors in the stock market, they may try to cash out of their investments quickly if there are signs of a serious downturn. As in the stock market, lots of amateur investors all trying to cash out quickly may lead to a crash or at least a downward pressure on prices.
* Many flippers are stretching themselves financially to buy properties. If the market goes down a little bit, it may mean a lot of properties in foreclosure or sold at fire-sale prices. This is on top of the already large number of buyers who seem to be stretching to buy their houses with adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages.
* Many economists and observers generally believe that the US economy is not doing so great. If the economy took a sudden turn for the worse, it might affect the real estate markets in a very bad way. This would magnify troubles for the flippers, who would in turn pass their troubles onto the real estate markets, compounding a bad situation.
Is Real Estate Flipping Really So Bad?
Suffice it to say, there's a lot of hand-wringing over the practice of flipping houses. After all, even if it were a sure-fire investment, there would likely be more than a little resentment at the thought of people who need housing having to compete with people who are out to make a fast a buck. But is it really that bad?
Here are some somewhat-good things that can be said about flipping:
* Rentals. Some home flippers are taking the more traditional real estate investment route of renting properties--at least for a little while. With the most optimistic flippers hoping a property will continue building value for another year or more, it only makes sense to get some rental income on it while it's building property value. So, at least in those cases, a tight housing market won't be losing space.
* Improvements. Even before "flipping" was a word, handy home buyers would take fixer-uppers and convert them into something more valuable. While there are fewer and fewer fixer-uppers these days, it's still an important way in which flippers have helped give something back to the community.
* Distressed properties and foreclosures. Enterprising flippers are always looking for housing that's below-market value. This can be a god-send for anyone who needs to unload a property quickly before it's on the foreclosure auction block.
In short, love it or hate it, house flipping has become an important part of many US real estate markets at the dawn of the twenty-first century.
Residential Property Management Portland
The next five years will be a trying time for Asian residential property markets, according to a recent report. The cost of housing is increasing in many Asian markets, which is one reason for this expectation. Governments are doing their part to try to keep housing prices down through regulation and law, but they continue to rise in many countries. While the property market in Europe and the UK slowed considerably (apart from in Bulgaria), Singapore and Hong Kong have outperformed the market in general with their housing prices. This sounds positive, but may cause trouble for uncanny investors.
A recent survey of experts in real estate, finance and business revealed that Asian real estate will still be hot 'property' in the next five years. This survey was commissioned by Allens Arthur Robins, a trust company and law firm. They predicted that REITs will remain quite healthy in Asia, however the residential property market in Asia may struggle. Commercial property is expected to do well, with high volume turnover predicted and good prices. Residential property though, is expected to suffer from increasingly high prices, and a resultantly slower market.
The residential property market in China is one of the biggest in Asia, volume-wise. A report by the South China Morning Post reveals that the main focuses of real estate growth will most likely be retail, industrial and commercial property. This is despite the fact that all three of these sectors have slowed down in the last few months. However, residential property has outperformed itself somewhat -the record high prices and appreciation that have thrilled many investors now make most residential property in Asia beyond the reach of the country's middle-class citizens.
One example comes from Shanghai, where Shanghai Forte Land recently announced that a recently completed residential project will see an expected hike in prices of 20%. This is despite measures specifically put in place by the Chinese government to control the residential property market in China's skyrocketing prices, which have created havoc in the country's economy in the past years. Real estate investment in China is in turmoil due to these regulations.
Another example comes from Singapore, where the residential property market in this Asian country was described as the hottest in the world by Jones Lang LaSalle in 2007, after the city-state's property prices surged by 31% in just one year. However, the effects of the credit crunch have not left Singapore's market untouched, and Asia's real estate generally, along with Singapore's are now cooling somewhat. Private home prices rose by only .4% in the second quarter of 2008, which is the slowest increase in four years. These figures come from the government's preliminary statistics.
India is also seeing the residential property market slow down. There is expected to be a 15-20% dip in residential property prices, due to the extremely low numbers of residential properties changing hands. The market is stagnating in cities like Mohali, Jaipur, Lucknow, Indore, Surat and Cochin, with up to a 90% drop in the number of property deals in these cities. This seems to be indicative of the residential property market in Asia generally.
Crude oil prices have also had their impact on Asian real estate, with both developers and private home buyers having less money to spend on their accommodation. The credit crunch continues, and we expect that residential property in Asia will be subject to all of these factors in the coming year.
Both Joel Walsh & Gregory Smyth are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
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