Guide to the Stock Market

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Technical Analysis Of Commodities

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In fact, seasoned veterans are able to correctly predict the ups and downs of financial securities. That is how they make oodles of money!



But this "predicting ability" is absent in most people. Even experts can go wrong at times, forget novices to this community! Therefore, a new tool called "technical analysis" has come into the market to help out in such matters. Since the results of using it have proved favorable, more and more traders and investors are going in for it.

Let us examine all the characteristics of this new tool--

(1) The correct definition of technical analysis is "the skill of being able to predict a particular security in the financial market".

(2) This type of analysis revolves around the actual movement of the market; this is not the case with fundamental analysis. Factors related to politics or economics are pushed aside, though they do have an impact on a market's movement.

(3) It searches for patterns or trends that can recur in the future. When this knowledge becomes available, prediction of what will happen in the future becomes easy.

(4) Despite this analysis being quite reliable, it is advisable to go in for fundamental analysis also. A comparison between the results of both will give a double edge to accuracy.

(5) How is fundamental analysis different?

If a fundamental analysis is to be done about a particular company, it includes factors like--how money is being managed by the company, how its performance has been in the past and how stable the current government is regarding trading currency. Thus, this analysis probes the reasons for the market's movement.

Technical analysis is only bothered with how the market is actually going to move. The company's present or past performance, how it takes care of its money--all these are irrelevant!

(6) Anything that claims to be perfect, is naturally viewed with skepticism! So also this new tool, and its claims to being efficient and accurate! People wonder how past movements of the market can aid in predicting the future?

(7) Technical analysis will have to take the help of quite a few indicators for predicting the future of financial securities, such as--volatility indicators, price change indicators, strength indicators, and so on.

(8) Just indicators are not enough, some type of software is also necessary for the purpose of monitoring the results. The software should have these features--real time data streaming, zoom features to be able to view the changes clearly and charts to base predictions on, among others.

(9) There is plenty of software available in the market, but it is advisable to choose one that studies how a particular security has performed in the past and predicts its future accurately.

(10) How are market patterns detected?

Each day, the opening price for a particular security, its highest price for the day, the lowest price for the day, and its closing price at the end of the day--have to be taken into consideration. Daily data collection leads to the setting of a pattern for the future.

(11) The most important thing to remember is tha no technical analysis can be 100% successful in its predictions, despite the best software in place. This type of tool is only meant to serve the purpose of a guide.

(12) Finally, whatever be the software, whatever be the technical analysis, the ultimate decision-maker is "the person"! Yes, this tool with its software gives very good guidelines, but instinct or a sixth sense should play a greater role if the trader or investor wants to achieve great success!
Technical Analysis Of Commodities
I wonder if you have realized this…

All the data you get daily from the stock exchange in financial technical analysis charts are nothing more than:

1. Price

2. Volume

That’s right. Only the price and the number of transactions are known daily and captured as charts for financial technical analysis. Even though volume is such an important element, very few technical traders make full use of it in helping them with their trade entries and exit. This is because most technical traders simply do not know how to make sense of the daily volume bars in relation to the price action. I present here a simple chart explaining what the price versus volume behavior stand for and hope it helps you in making more sense in your financial technical analysis.

Financial Technical Analysis Using Volume Defined

Rising Price + Rising Volume = Healthy Bull trend

Rising Price + Declinging volume = Bull trend drying up, hitting ceiling soon

Declining Price + Rising Volume = Healthy Bear Trend

Declining Price + Declining Volume = Bear tredn drying up, bottoming soon.

Declining Price + Sudden Volume surge = Selling Climax, short term support level reached

Price at Peak + Sudden volume surge = Buying Climax, resistance level reached

Financial Technical Analysis of Head & Shoulder Formation Using Volume

The volume pattern for a head and shoulders top formation is very distinctive.

On the left shoulder volume reaches a peak. As prices move up to the head, volume increases,

but this second volume peak should be lower than that of the left shoulder. This higher peak in price,

yet lower peak in volume, is an important signal to the trader that buying interest is far less ardent.

Finally, as prices rally and form the right shoulder, volume further diminishes.

Financial Technical Analysis Using Volume, Conclusion

I hope this simple explanation of what each movement of price versus volume means in financial technical analysis can help you, as a technical trader, attain a higher level of accuracy when reading your charts and therefore a higher level of trading consistency.

Read More About How To Use Technical Analysis Systematically at
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About Author
Both Abhishek Agarwal & Jason Ng are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.

Abhishek Agarwal has sinced written about articles on various topics from Surveys, Camping and Camping. Abhishek has an uncanny insight into Trading! Visit his website and download his FREE Trading Report and learn some amazi. Abhishek Agarwal's top article generates over 368000 views. to your Favourites.

Jason Ng has sinced written about articles on various topics from Finances, Investments and Trading Strategy. Jason Ng is the Founder and Chief Option Strategist of Masters 'O' Equity Asset Management ( ). For free Option Trading Education, pleas. Jason Ng's top article generates over 301000 views. to your Favourites.
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