And nowhere has the debt binge been more apparent than in the housing market. Low mortgage rates have been a boon for homebuyers and created an insatiable demand for structured products from investors hungry for yield. Eager to oblige, Wall Street has been having a feast. Making loans to homebuyers then packaging them up and selling them to pension funds, hedge funds and large insurers. The fees have been MASSIVE.
When you package up individual loans into a product (called a CDO but with many name variations) you are able to pick and choose the exact payout you want to achieve. Add in some AAA rated mortgages, mix in BBB+ paper and stir in Toxic Junk bonds (bound to default) and voil? you have an instrument with very specific yields and cash flows.
Ofcourse there are bands as to what constitutes for example BBB- Investment Grade Bond. And all the structurer has to do is use the loosest defined Bond to comply. Compliance is overseen by ratings agencies that help banks put the products together. It's a cozy lucrative arrangement and its complicated stuff. One of the highest paying jobs on Wall Street is for Correlation Traders. Quants who make sure the underlying paper behave according to their promise.
And then there's the leverage. And boy is there leverage! Payouts can be magnified by up to 10x using synthetics or derivatives that link to even more mortgage pools.
The party was going great until interest rates started to rise and housing began to fall.
Chart 1 - Centex homebuilder and 10 year Bonds (bottom) breaking support - CDO reaction 1 week later
Last week the financial world was awoken by the harsh reality that hey, maybe these mortgages are not going to perform as originally planned. Maybe the risk of default is a lot higher than originally thought GULP! Bear Sterns announced a $3.2Bn ?loan? to bail out one of its troubled hedge funds doing exactly what I detailed above.
Based on the banking indexes sharp fall on Friday, this problem may be a little more widespread than that.
Chart 2 - Banking index (top) reacting to CDO news; price of gold trending lower (bottom)
Earlier this month we detailed how higher interest rates would benefit the price of gold. That is, in the long-term the fundamentals for Gold are incredibly bright, but there will be short term pain. The reason is that Gold has been bid up along with all other assets under the current wave of liquidity. A repricing of CDO risk would likely curtail the issuance of these instruments and cause a sharp contraction in liquidity with a commensurate drop in ALL asset classes ? if last week is an indication, the speed of this deflation will be mind blowing and completely overwhelming. However, Gold's Credit rating has been and always will remain sterling. When investors realize the incredible DANGER in front of us, they will return to Gold in droves!
More commentary and stock picks follow for subscribers...
keywords: price of gold, cdo, structured products
Whats The Price Of Gold
You may have decided that life insurance (assurance) is the best way to protect your family's future. But getting the lowest possible insurance premium, taking into account the right length of term and benefit amount, is not an easy process.
Premiums with life insurance quotes can vary enormously in some instances so it is worth shopping around.
Do I take term or whole life insurance cover?
There are two basic options when shopping for life insurance which is a term or permanent policy with term life covering you for a specific period and permanent covering you for the whole of your life.
If you have short-term financial obligations such as a child's education then term life insurance is usually more than ample and can offer good coverage for the least amount of money.
But if you want to create an inheritance and protect your family's future for a much longer period then a whole life insurance plan is the best option.
Not all term insurance policies are the same
Although all term insurance policies cover you for a certain amount of time there are different kinds.
Flat-rate (or level) cover - The amount of insurance cover is fixed at the time you take the policy out
Decreasing (or mortgage protection insurance) cover - The insurance cover amount decreases over the term of the policy and more often than not is designed to tie in with the outstanding amount on your repayment mortgage.
Family income benefit - This provides your loved ones with a regular income not a lump sum in the event of your death. But it is worth bearing in mind that these payments only last for the period of cover.
Increasing term assurance - Premiums and benefits will increase each year in line with inflation. This is usually an option for you if you want to ensure that your family can carry on in the lifestyle it has become accustomed to.
Convertible term assurance - This gives you the option to convert to a whole-of-life insurance policy with the same insurer at the end of your policy.
What will affect my life insurance quote?
Your age and state of health are the main factors determining how much you will pay for life insurance cover. Generally the younger and fitter you are the less you will pay.
If you are a smoker you will pay more. But remember that life insurance premiums have fallen in the past five to 10 years so it may be possible to get a lower premium than the one you have now.
Things to consider before selecting a life insurance quote
* Read the policy over carefully. Make sure you look at the clauses and exclusions sections in detail
* Check to see what life insurance cover you may already have (through work for example)
* Always have your Life Insurance policy written in trust. This means that in the unfortunate event of your death the money goes directly to the named person and also avoids the family having to pay inheritance tax
* Are you likely to need critical illness insurance in the future? Then consider adding it now to the life insurance policy you're arranging
* Will the life insurance policy enable you to vary payments as personal circumstances change?
I don't have the time for all this? Is there not an easier way?
With so many life insurance companies out there it can be very time consuming sourcing quotes from each individual provider to ensure you get the best deal.
We can help you compare costs by providing you with a free, online life insurance quote from some of the leading life insurance company's in the UK.
Get the best life insurance quote for your circumstances now:
Both Greg Silberman & Moneyexpert are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Greg Silberman has sinced written about articles on various topics from Stock, Nutrition and Investments. If you would like to view the above charts and learn more about successful investing in mining and energy stocks please visit me at: http://blog.goldandoilstocks.com/2007/06/price-of-gold-and-cdo-structured.html. Greg Silberman's top article generates over 5400 views. to your Favourites.
Moneyexpert has sinced written about articles on various topics from Credit Cards, Finances and Debts Loans. MoneyExpert - ,. Moneyexpert's top article generates over 27100 views. to your Favourites.
Calories Intake For Women Therefore, female bodybuilders who have gone through this phase of their life must focus on taking calcium rich diets like beans, cabbage, tofu, green leafy vegetables and most importantly, one large...