(1) The company financials, especially the P/E ratio. The P/E or Price to Earnings ratio is the stock price divided by the earnings per share and is a good indication of the strength of the company. The average P/E over the S&P 500 is about 15 but it varies from industry to industry so check the average for the industry the stock is in. Generally a high P/E indicates a company with strong earnings and growth potential.
(2) The amount of cash the company has on hand, the amount of debt they have and the gross profit margin (defined as the gross profit divided by total revenue). These indicate the company's stability and profitability. Ideally a strong company will have a lot of cash, low debt and a high gross profit margin.
News from any number of online web sites, check my last article for a good list. Check to see if earnings are being announced, if there are any splits coming up or if there is any other economic or company specific news that may affect the stock price Look for particular signs of strength if you are trading calls or weakness if you are trading puts.
Check the industry the stock is in and how it is performing. Once you have picked a stock that you think will move either up or down then you need to look at the options chain to see what options are available on that stock.
The options chain displays the expiration date, the strike (or exercise) price, the bid and ask price, the daily volume traded and open interest (the number of options contracts that exist). Let's look at each component in turn.
When choosing the correct option to trade, consider in particular the time until expiration. You never want to hold onto an option that has less than 30 days until expiration because options get cheaper as time goes on and during the last 30 days time decay (as it is called) speeds up. Therefore buy an option with at least 60 to 90 days until expiration.
Consider also how much intrinsic value the option has (defined as the difference between the strike price of the option and the underlying stock price). You should ideally buy an option that has a similar strike price and underlying stock price or one that has a slightly positive intrinsic value.
The difference between the bid and ask price is called the spread. If you place a market order you will pay the ask price if buying or you will receive the bid price if selling. If you don't want to pay the market price you can place a limit order somewhere between the bid and the ask price but be aware that if the price of the option moves away from your limit, your order will not get filled.
Daily volume traded is not a major factor in deciding which option to pick but open interest is. There should be at least 100 contracts open so there will be enough buyers when you want to sell your option.
One last consideration when deciding what option to buy is the delta of the option. Delta is a compnent of options pricing, there are a total of five compnents, collectively known as "the Greeks". The Delta is the most relevant of the Greeks and indicates how much the option price will change for every $1 movement in the underlying stock price. For instance if you buy a call option in XYZ Company that has a Delta of 0.65 then each time the share price of XYZ moves up a dollar your option will increase $0.65 in value. Obviously the higher the Delta the better it is for you but options with a higher Delta tend to cost more to purchase.
Stay tuned for Key #4 when we will look at how to decide when to place your trade and how to identify a good entry point.
US Government required disclaimer: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500 Chicago, IL 60606 (1-800-678-4667).
Non Qualified Stock Options
Savigs is one of the most critical parts to any successfuly financial strategy; if you spend your gains as soon as you have them you will never reach true wealth. It is only by the miracle of compound interest that your gains will truly turn into a fortune.
Compound interest is the process whereby annual returns are added to the original investment and reinvested, rather than being spent or taken out, thereby creating a larger amount to invest again, as this process is repeated the compounding exponentially increases the returns over the lifetime of the investment. For example if you invest $10,000 a 20% return increases your portfolio to $12,000. A 20% return on that increases your portfolio to $14,400, 20% on that is $17,280, 20% on that is $20,736 and 20% on that is $24,883 which is a total return of $14,883.
In the next example let's assume after you made your 20% return you took it out and spent it. Your next 20% return would only be the same $2000 because your initial investment is still only $10,000. If you consistently got the same return as above and kept taking your money out your total return would be $10,000 or $4883 (50%) LESS than if you had kept saving your money and reinvesting it. The longer you leave your money in your account the more pronounced your returns will be and the greater the effects of compounding will be.
Einstein once said "Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world". When applied to options trading we can replace the word "interest" with "return on investment". That means if you are winning and have a good return on your investment don't take out the profits in your account to spend on a new boat, car or house. Re-invest your profits and if you are doing everything correctly the miracle of compounding returns will exponentially increase the size of your portfolio.
That's it, a short article this week. Next week we have a lot to discuss when we talk about money management.
US Government required disclaimer: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500 Chicago, IL 60606 (1-800-678-4667).
Roger Cox has sinced written about articles on various topics from Finances, Investments and Finances. Roger Cox hails from New Zealand and now lives in Los Angeles. He was President of an international freight corporation before he started his own consulting company. Roger has successfully traded stock options, for more than four years and loves teaching. Roger Cox's top article generates over 2900 views. to your Favourites.
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