Did you know that it is easier to make money during a stock market crash than it is during a raging bull market – Why? Because stock investing is driven by two emotions
FEAR & GREED
If you look at the stock market history & old stock market graphs you will notice that the stock market index falls much faster than it rises. There is an old saying that “the bulls need to walk up the stairs but the bears jump out the window”. So once again let's look at the question how does a stock market crash.
The main reason behind a stock market crash is Fear. Whether it was the stock market crash of 1929, the great depression or the current credit crisis that we are going through, whether it is in the USA, Australia or Iceland the main reason behind the crash is fear.
When investing in shares or getting stock market advice people often forget to think about all of the other investors who are doing the exact same thing. Plus the majority of money invested into the market doesn't come from mum and dad investors but huge corporations and fund managers.
Whenever you buy shares you are buying them at a time when other investors have done two things
1.They have already bought the shares and are sitting on a profit or a loss.
2.They have already sold the shares with a profit and a loss and are looking at the right time to buy them again.
Taking this into account, let's pretend that you buy share at $20. 6 months ago this share was trading at $14 and it has slowly climbed to $20 and you are hoping that it will continue to rise. You know own the share just like the all the investors who had already bought it but there is one big difference – Theses other investors are all sitting on profit. So they are now watching the stock price like a hawk because the last thing they want is a stock market crash to come along and wipe out their profit. To make things even worse most investors aren't only thinking about the profit but they have already spent the profit in their heads. So when the share price starts to turn around you think "it's ok, I'm sure it will come good" – whereas they are thinking “oh no I don't want to lose my profit (new car) I better sell. This fear of losing profit starts to grow and more and more people start jump off the bandwagon – Apart from you who has bought at the top, your still saying “I think it's going to turn around”.
So how does a stock market crash? Of course there are many contributing factors but fear is most definitely the biggest. Unfortunately for most investors they end up losing money because they typically buy when the market is high and sell when the market is low.
So how can you not fall into that trap? Simply by knowledge, education and experience. No one will be able to time the market perfectly (buy at the low and sell at the peak), not even Warren Buffet does that. But if you can buy during the bottom 30% of the market and sell during the top 30% you will go along way to becoming a successful investor.
What about making money when the market is crashing? I said before that you can actually make money during this period and that is true. Why? Because fear is much easier to predict than greed therefore the market moves quicker. So if you know a few very simple strategies you will actually be able to make huge profits in a quarter of the time.
So maybe the question you should be asking yourself is not how does the stock market crash but how can I take advantage of a stock market crash?
Stock Market Crash Depression
Finding good stocks that are able to survive stock market crash is really tough. However, these simple financial ratios can help you to discover these tough stocks. The stocks are so tough, that will only grow stronger after the recession. Make sure you stick with it if you want to be rich from stock market.
Earnings per Employee
You can calculate the staff productivity by dividing the total earnings by the number of staffs. As different industries have different ratios, you should compare staffs' ability to bring value to the company in the same field. Compare yourself a bank with $12k profits per staff with another bank of $98k profits per staff, I bet you can notice the difference.
Good employees maintain the business operation, but great workers will sustain the business growth. And in stock investing, earnings growth does matter, especially during depression. Though times never last, but tough people do.
Return on Asset
ROA can be calculated by dividing the net profits by the number of assets that the company owns. It indicates how efficient the management is in turning the assets into profits. Compare with other stocks on how they do is something you should consider. Lower ROA can be attributed to not having enough expertise to manage the assets or not having the right assets in the first place.
During recession, companies with the lowest return on asset (ROA) are prone to be acquired by stronger companies. Unfortunately, not all low ROA stocks hold the value they want in the eye of larger companies. Therefore, better avoid this type of stocks.
Liquidity Ratio
Liquidity ratio measures if the stock is able to meet the short term obligations. It can be calculated as current or quick ratio. Either way, it is about the liquid asset over its current liabilities. This ratio is critical during recession as the interest rate will increase substantially that time. Although Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate recently, there is no guarantee it will be the same in 2008.
Recently, I noticed some good companies holding substantial liquid assets like never before. This indicates the stocks are preparing themselves of any possibilities of higher interest rates next year, or having enough cash to buy profitable asset at cheaper price in 2008.
Either there is market crash, recession or economic depression in 2008, make sure you get ready yourself. Market crash can be bad to some, but offer great opportunities to smart investors. So, make sure you are one of them.
Both Banjo Smyth & Zainul Anuar are contributors for EditorialToday. The above articles have been edited for relevancy and timeliness. All write-ups, reviews, tips and guides published by EditorialToday.com and its partners or affiliates are for informational purposes only. They should not be used for any legal or any other type of advice. We do not endorse any author, contributor, writer or article posted by our team.
Banjo Smyth has sinced written about articles on various topics from Stock, Finances and Investments. Would you like to learn how to not only survive the 2009 Stock Market Crash but actually profit from it? Receive your FREE DVD Today
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